Union Berlin vs RB Leipzig result and stats
Win probability: home 21%, draw 27%, away 52%
Match report
GossipBall's parrot has been crunching the numbersUnion Berlin beat RB Leipzig 3–1 at home in the Bundesliga on Friday 12 December 2025. This match was played before GossipBall launched. In a retrospective test using only results available before kick-off, GossipBall's ratings gave Union Berlin 21%, the draw 27% and RB Leipzig 52%, so a home win had a 21% chance. It would have been an upset.
GossipBall analysis · based on five seasons of results and expected goals · updated 30 October 2026, 05:56 UTC
Match stats
UBRL
12Shots9
6On target3
4Corners6
7Fouls8
2Yellow cards2
0Red cards0
0Half-time goals0
Recent form
Union Berlin
L @ Wolfsburg1–3 · 6 Dec
L v Heidenheim1–2 · 29 Nov
W @ St Pauli1–0 · 23 Nov
D v Bayern Munich2–2 · 8 Nov
D v Freiburg0–0 · 1 Nov
RB Leipzig
W v Eintracht Frankfurt6–0 · 6 Dec
D @ Gladbach0–0 · 28 Nov
W v Werder Bremen2–0 · 23 Nov
L @ Hoffenheim1–3 · 8 Nov
W v Stuttgart3–1 · 1 Nov
Head to head
In 8 league meetings since 2021, Union Berlin won 4, RB Leipzig won 2 and 2 were drawn; the most recent, on 1 Feb 2025, was a 0–0 draw.
Union Berlin 0–0 RB Leipzig1 Feb 2025
RB Leipzig 0–0 Union Berlin14 Sep 2024
RB Leipzig 2–0 Union Berlin4 Feb 2024
Union Berlin 0–3 RB Leipzig3 Sep 2023
RB Leipzig 1–2 Union Berlin11 Feb 2023
Union Berlin 2–1 RB Leipzig20 Aug 2022