GossipBall
BundesligaSunday 5 April 2026 ·

Union Berlin vs St Pauli result and stats

42%
test home win
1–1
full time
34%
draw
St Pauli
25%
test away win
Win probability: home 42%, draw 34%, away 25%

Match report

GossipBall's parrot has been crunching the numbers

Union Berlin and St Pauli drew 1–1 in the Bundesliga on Sunday 5 April 2026. This match was played before GossipBall launched. In a retrospective test using only results available before kick-off, GossipBall's ratings gave Union Berlin 42%, the draw 34% and St Pauli 25%, so a draw had a 34% chance. It would have been an upset.

GossipBall analysis · based on five seasons of results and expected goals · updated 30 October 2026, 05:56 UTC

Match stats

UBSP
16
Shots
9
8
On target
2
7
Corners
2
10
Fouls
8
0
Yellow cards
2
0
Red cards
1
0
Half-time goals
1

Recent form

Union Berlin
L @ Bayern Munich0–4 · 21 Mar
W @ Freiburg1–0 · 15 Mar
L v Werder Bremen1–4 · 8 Mar
L @ Gladbach0–1 · 28 Feb
W v Bayer Leverkusen1–0 · 21 Feb
St Pauli
L v Freiburg1–2 · 22 Mar
L @ Gladbach0–2 · 13 Mar
D v Eintracht Frankfurt0–0 · 8 Mar
W @ Hoffenheim1–0 · 28 Feb
W v Werder Bremen2–1 · 22 Feb

Head to head

In 3 league meetings since 2024, Union Berlin won 2, St Pauli won 1 and 0 were drawn; the most recent, on 23 Nov 2025, finished St Pauli 0–1 Union Berlin, a win for Union Berlin.

St Pauli 0–1 Union Berlin23 Nov 2025
St Pauli 3–0 Union Berlin26 Jan 2025
Union Berlin 1–0 St Pauli30 Aug 2024

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Not affiliated with any league, club or governing body; names are used for identification only and no club or league logos are shown. Data: football-data.co.uk, football-data.org and openfootball. Photos: Sebastian Schuster, Victor, Lukáš Parničan and nika tchokhonelidze on Unsplash.

Updated 30 October 2026, 05:56 UTC · About · Legal & privacy · Guide · Previous predictions · Track record · [email protected]