Augsburg vs Bayer Leverkusen result and stats
Win probability: home 22%, draw 24%, away 55%
Match report
GOSSIPBALL's parrot has been crunching the numbersAugsburg and Bayer Leverkusen drew 2–2 in the Bundesliga on Saturday 12 September 2026. Before kick-off GossipBall gave Augsburg 22%, the draw 24% and Bayer Leverkusen 55%, so a draw had a 24% chance. It was an upset by GossipBall's numbers.
On expected goals it finished Augsburg 1.11, Bayer Leverkusen 2.64, so Bayer Leverkusen created the better chances. Augsburg had 8 shots (5 on target) to Bayer Leverkusen's 30 (5 on target).
GOSSIPBALL analysis · based on five seasons of results and expected goals · updated 29 October 2026, 20:50 UTC
Match stats
AUBL
1.11Expected goals2.64
8Shots30
5On target5
2Corners14
6Fouls12
1Yellow cards1
0Red cards0
0Half-time goals1
Recent form
Augsburg
W @ Eintracht Frankfurt4–1 · 6 Sep
W v Schalke 043–0 · 30 Aug
L @ Union Berlin0–4 · 16 May
W v Gladbach3–1 · 9 May
W @ Werder Bremen3–1 · 2 May
Bayer Leverkusen
W v Union Berlin4–0 · 5 Sep
L @ Elversberg2–3 · 29 Aug
D v Hamburg1–1 · 16 May
L @ Stuttgart1–3 · 9 May
W v RB Leipzig4–1 · 2 May
Head to head
In 10 league meetings since 2021, Augsburg won 4, Bayer Leverkusen won 6 and 0 were drawn; the most recent, on 18 Apr 2026, finished Bayer Leverkusen 1–2 Augsburg, a win for Augsburg.
Bayer Leverkusen 1–2 Augsburg18 Apr 2026
Augsburg 2–0 Bayer Leverkusen6 Dec 2025
Bayer Leverkusen 2–0 Augsburg26 Apr 2025
Augsburg 0–2 Bayer Leverkusen14 Dec 2024
Bayer Leverkusen 2–1 Augsburg18 May 2024
Augsburg 0–1 Bayer Leverkusen13 Jan 2024
Season averages per game
AUBL
2.43Goals2.29
1.86Conceded1.71
2.16xG1.97
2.74xG against1.61
17.7Shots18.1
6.7On target5.4
5.9Corners6.7
1.57Yellow cards1.71
14%Clean sheets29%
86%Both score57%
86%3+ goals86%