Augsburg vs Union Berlin result and stats
Win probability: home 47%, draw 26%, away 26%
Match report
GOSSIPBALL's parrot has been crunching the numbersAugsburg and Union Berlin drew 1–1 in the Bundesliga on Saturday 24 October 2026. Before kick-off GossipBall gave Augsburg 47%, the draw 26% and Union Berlin 26%, so a draw had a 26% chance. It was an upset by GossipBall's numbers.
On expected goals it finished Augsburg 1.92, Union Berlin 1.25, so Augsburg created the better chances. Augsburg had 27 shots (5 on target) to Union Berlin's 6 (1 on target).
GOSSIPBALL analysis · based on five seasons of results and expected goals · updated 29 October 2026, 20:50 UTC
Match stats
AUUB
1.92Expected goals1.25
27Shots6
5On target1
5Corners1
10Fouls9
0Yellow cards3
1Red cards1
0Half-time goals0
Recent form
Augsburg
L @ Elversberg3–4 · 17 Oct
D v Bayern Munich2–2 · 10 Oct
L @ Werder Bremen2–3 · 19 Sep
D v Bayer Leverkusen2–2 · 12 Sep
W @ Eintracht Frankfurt4–1 · 6 Sep
Union Berlin
D v Borussia Dortmund0–0 · 17 Oct
W v Elversberg1–0 · 10 Oct
L @ Bayern Munich0–7 · 18 Sep
L v Schalke 041–3 · 11 Sep
L @ Bayer Leverkusen0–4 · 5 Sep
Head to head
In 10 league meetings since 2021, Augsburg won 4, Union Berlin won 2 and 4 were drawn; the most recent, on 16 May 2026, finished Union Berlin 4–0 Augsburg, a win for Union Berlin.
Union Berlin 4–0 Augsburg16 May 2026
Augsburg 1–1 Union Berlin15 Jan 2026
Augsburg 1–2 Union Berlin17 May 2025
Union Berlin 0–2 Augsburg15 Jan 2025
Augsburg 2–0 Union Berlin12 Apr 2024
Union Berlin 1–1 Augsburg25 Nov 2023
Season averages per game
AUUB
2.43Goals0.86
1.86Conceded2.57
2.16xG1.10
2.74xG against2.01
17.7Shots11.9
6.7On target3.9
5.9Corners3.6
1.57Yellow cards2.57
14%Clean sheets29%
86%Both score43%
86%3+ goals57%