GOSSIPBALL
BundesligaMatchday 8Saturday 31 October 2026 ·

Bayer Leverkusen vs Stuttgart prediction

53%
home win
likeliest score
2–1
9.0% chance
22%
draw
25%
away win
Win probability: home 53%, draw 22%, away 25%

Match preview

GOSSIPBALL's parrot has been crunching the numbers

GossipBall makes Bayer Leverkusen favourites to beat Stuttgart at home in the Bundesliga on Saturday 31 October 2026 at 14:30 UTC. It gives Bayer Leverkusen a 53% chance of winning, puts the draw at 22% and gives Stuttgart 25%.

GossipBall expects 2.2 goals from Bayer Leverkusen and 1.5 from Stuttgart, so goals look likely: there is a 71% chance of three or more goals and a 69% chance that both teams score. The likeliest single score is 2–1 (9%). Bayer Leverkusen keep a clean sheet in 23% of outcomes, Stuttgart in 11%.

Bayer Leverkusen are 4th in the table with 13 points from 7 games; Stuttgart are 15th with 6. In their last five league games Bayer Leverkusen took 10 points (DWWWL) and Stuttgart took 3 (LLWLL). This season Bayer Leverkusen average 1.97 expected goals (xG) for and 1.61 against per game; Stuttgart average 1.94 for and 2.44 against.

In 10 league meetings since 2021, Bayer Leverkusen won 4, Stuttgart won 2 and 4 were drawn; the most recent, on 9 May 2026, finished Stuttgart 3–1 Bayer Leverkusen, a win for Stuttgart.

GOSSIPBALL analysis · based on five seasons of results and expected goals · updated 29 October 2026, 20:50 UTC

Scoreline chances

How to read
0
1
2
3
4
5
0
3
3
3
1
<1
<1
1
5
9
6
3
1
<1
2
6
9
7
3
1
<1
3
4
7
5
2
<1
<1
4
2
4
3
1
<1
<1
5
1
2
1
<1
<1
Rows: Bayer Leverkusen goalsColumns: Stuttgart goals
2–19.0%
1–18.9%
2–26.7%
3–16.6%
1–26.2%
2–06.1%
1 or more goals
97%
2 or more goals
89%
3 or more goals
71%
4 or more goals
50%
5 or more goals
30%
Both teams score
69%

GOSSIPBALL expects 3.7 goals in total: 2.18 for Bayer Leverkusen and 1.48 for Stuttgart.

Winning margin

Explained
Bayer Leverkusen by 3
9%
Bayer Leverkusen by 2
16%
Bayer Leverkusen by 1
20%
Draw
22%
Stuttgart by 3
3%
Stuttgart by 2
7%
Stuttgart by 1
14%

Each team's goals

Explained
Bayer Leverkusen expected goals2.18
Stuttgart expected goals1.48
Bayer Leverkusen keep a clean sheet23%
Stuttgart keep a clean sheet11%
Bayer Leverkusen win without conceding20%
Stuttgart win without conceding8%
Bayer Leverkusen score 2 or more64%
Stuttgart score 2 or more44%

Recent form

Bayer Leverkusen
L @ Hoffenheim0–3 · 25 Oct
W v Freiburg2–1 · 18 Oct
W @ Mainz4–3 · 10 Oct
W v RB Leipzig2–0 · 20 Sep
D @ Augsburg2–2 · 12 Sep
Stuttgart
L v Gladbach2–3 · 23 Oct
L @ Hamburg0–1 · 17 Oct
W @ Paderborn2–0 · 10 Oct
L v Borussia Dortmund0–1 · 19 Sep
L @ Hoffenheim1–2 · 12 Sep

Head to head

In 10 league meetings since 2021, Bayer Leverkusen won 4, Stuttgart won 2 and 4 were drawn; the most recent, on 9 May 2026, finished Stuttgart 3–1 Bayer Leverkusen, a win for Stuttgart.

Stuttgart 3–1 Bayer Leverkusen9 May 2026
Bayer Leverkusen 1–4 Stuttgart10 Jan 2026
Stuttgart 3–4 Bayer Leverkusen16 Mar 2025
Bayer Leverkusen 0–0 Stuttgart1 Nov 2024
Bayer Leverkusen 2–2 Stuttgart27 Apr 2024
Stuttgart 1–1 Bayer Leverkusen10 Dec 2023

Season averages per game

BLST
2.29
Goals
1.43
1.71
Conceded
1.86
1.97
xG
1.94
1.61
xG against
2.44
18.1
Shots
16.9
5.4
On target
5.7
6.7
Corners
6.6
1.71
Yellow cards
1.14
29%
Clean sheets
14%
57%
Both score
57%
86%
3+ goals
57%

Questions and answers

Who will win Bayer Leverkusen vs Stuttgart?

GossipBall gives Bayer Leverkusen a 53% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Stuttgart 25%. GossipBall makes Bayer Leverkusen favourites to beat Stuttgart at home.

What is the most likely score in Bayer Leverkusen vs Stuttgart?

The likeliest single score is 2–1, with a 9% chance. The next most likely are 1–1 (9%), 2–2 (7%), 3–1 (7%).

Will both teams score in Bayer Leverkusen vs Stuttgart?

GossipBall gives a 69% chance that both Bayer Leverkusen and Stuttgart score.

Will there be three or more goals in Bayer Leverkusen vs Stuttgart?

There is a 71% chance of three or more goals. GossipBall expects 3.7 goals in total (2.2 for Bayer Leverkusen, 1.5 for Stuttgart).

When is Bayer Leverkusen vs Stuttgart?

Kick-off is Saturday 31 October 2026 at 14:30 UTC.

What is the head-to-head record between Bayer Leverkusen and Stuttgart?

In 10 league meetings since 2021, Bayer Leverkusen won 4, Stuttgart won 2 and 4 were drawn; the most recent, on 9 May 2026, finished Stuttgart 3–1 Bayer Leverkusen, a win for Stuttgart.

GOSSIPBALL is a football statistics site, not a gambling service. We do not offer, promote, advertise or link to betting or gambling of any kind, show no bookmaker odds and receive no money from gambling companies. Predictions are statistical probabilities for information and entertainment only; they are not advice of any kind. Legal notice

Not affiliated with any league, club or governing body; names are used for identification only and no club or league logos are shown. Data: football-data.co.uk, football-data.org and openfootball. Photos: Sebastian Schuster, Victor, Lukáš Parničan and nika tchokhonelidze on Unsplash.

Updated 29 October 2026, 20:50 UTC · About · Legal & privacy · Guide · Track record · [email protected]