Elversberg vs Augsburg result and stats
Win probability: home 48%, draw 26%, away 27%

Match report
GOSSIPBALL's parrot has been crunching the numbersElversberg beat Augsburg 4–3 at home in the Bundesliga on Saturday 17 October 2026. Before kick-off GossipBall gave Elversberg 48%, the draw 26% and Augsburg 27%, so a home win had a 48% chance. GossipBall's favourite result came in.
On expected goals it finished Elversberg 3.78, Augsburg 3.92, so Augsburg created the better chances. Elversberg had 19 shots (8 on target) to Augsburg's 29 (8 on target).
GOSSIPBALL analysis · based on five seasons of results and expected goals · updated 29 October 2026, 20:50 UTC
Match stats
ELAU
3.78Expected goals3.92
19Shots29
8On target8
4Corners12
16Fouls14
4Yellow cards3
0Red cards0
3Half-time goals1
Recent form
Elversberg
L @ Union Berlin0–1 · 10 Oct
D @ Schalke 040–0 · 20 Sep
L v Bayern Munich1–2 · 13 Sep
W @ Gladbach4–3 · 5 Sep
W v Bayer Leverkusen3–2 · 29 Aug
Augsburg
D v Bayern Munich2–2 · 10 Oct
L @ Werder Bremen2–3 · 19 Sep
D v Bayer Leverkusen2–2 · 12 Sep
W @ Eintracht Frankfurt4–1 · 6 Sep
W v Schalke 043–0 · 30 Aug
Head to head
These teams haven't met in this league in the last five seasons.
Season averages per game
ELAU
1.71Goals2.43
2.14Conceded1.86
1.48xG2.16
2.29xG against2.74
10.3Shots17.7
4.1On target6.7
4.0Corners5.9
2.00Yellow cards1.57
14%Clean sheets14%
57%Both score86%
71%3+ goals86%