Elversberg vs Bayer Leverkusen result and stats
Win probability: home 24%, draw 24%, away 52%
Match report
GOSSIPBALL's parrot has been crunching the numbersElversberg beat Bayer Leverkusen 3–2 at home in the Bundesliga on Saturday 29 August 2026. Before kick-off GossipBall gave Elversberg 24%, the draw 24% and Bayer Leverkusen 52%, so a home win had a 24% chance. It was an upset by GossipBall's numbers.
On expected goals it finished Elversberg 1.27, Bayer Leverkusen 1.88, so Bayer Leverkusen created the better chances. Elversberg had 11 shots (6 on target) to Bayer Leverkusen's 21 (4 on target).
GOSSIPBALL analysis · based on five seasons of results and expected goals · updated 29 October 2026, 20:50 UTC
Match stats
ELBL
1.27Expected goals1.88
11Shots21
6On target4
4Corners3
18Fouls15
3Yellow cards2
0Red cards0
2Half-time goals0
Recent form
Elversberg
No earlier games in this league in our data (for example, newly promoted).
Bayer Leverkusen
D v Hamburg1–1 · 16 May
L @ Stuttgart1–3 · 9 May
W v RB Leipzig4–1 · 2 May
W @ FC Köln2–1 · 25 Apr
L v Augsburg1–2 · 18 Apr
Head to head
These teams haven't met in this league in the last five seasons.
Season averages per game
ELBL
1.71Goals2.29
2.14Conceded1.71
1.48xG1.97
2.29xG against1.61
10.3Shots18.1
4.1On target5.4
4.0Corners6.7
2.00Yellow cards1.71
14%Clean sheets29%
57%Both score57%
71%3+ goals86%