FC Köln vs Hoffenheim result and stats
Win probability: home 34%, draw 24%, away 42%
Match report
GOSSIPBALL's parrot has been crunching the numbersFC Köln beat Hoffenheim 3–2 at home in the Bundesliga on Saturday 29 August 2026. Before kick-off GossipBall gave FC Köln 34%, the draw 24% and Hoffenheim 42%, so a home win had a 34% chance. It was an upset by GossipBall's numbers.
On expected goals it finished FC Köln 1.95, Hoffenheim 1.88, so FC Köln created the better chances. FC Köln had 18 shots (6 on target) to Hoffenheim's 15 (4 on target).
GOSSIPBALL analysis · based on five seasons of results and expected goals · updated 29 October 2026, 20:50 UTC
Match stats
KÖHO
1.95Expected goals1.88
18Shots15
6On target4
6Corners7
11Fouls14
0Yellow cards2
0Red cards0
0Half-time goals1
Recent form
FC Köln
L @ Bayern Munich1–5 · 16 May
L v Heidenheim1–3 · 10 May
D @ Union Berlin2–2 · 2 May
L v Bayer Leverkusen1–2 · 25 Apr
D @ St Pauli1–1 · 17 Apr
Hoffenheim
L @ Gladbach0–4 · 16 May
W v Werder Bremen1–0 · 9 May
D v Stuttgart3–3 · 2 May
W @ Hamburg2–1 · 25 Apr
W v Borussia Dortmund2–1 · 18 Apr
Head to head
In 8 league meetings since 2021, FC Köln won 2, Hoffenheim won 3 and 3 were drawn; the most recent, on 21 Feb 2026, was a 2–2 draw.
FC Köln 2–2 Hoffenheim21 Feb 2026
Hoffenheim 0–1 FC Köln3 Oct 2025
Hoffenheim 1–1 FC Köln11 Feb 2024
FC Köln 1–3 Hoffenheim16 Sep 2023
Hoffenheim 1–3 FC Köln22 Apr 2023
FC Köln 1–1 Hoffenheim30 Oct 2022
Season averages per game
KÖHO
1.14Goals2.00
1.57Conceded2.00
1.60xG2.01
1.64xG against1.31
15.9Shots18.1
5.3On target5.4
6.0Corners6.4
1.86Yellow cards2.14
14%Clean sheets14%
71%Both score86%
57%3+ goals100%