BundesligaMatchday 9Sunday 8 November 2026 · 18:30

Hoffenheim vs Schalke 04 prediction

Hoffenheim

61%

home win

likeliest score

2–0

11.3% chance

23%

draw

Schalke 04

16%

away win

Win probability: home 61%, draw 23%, away 16%

Match preview

GOSSIPBALL's parrot has been crunching the numbers

GossipBall makes Hoffenheim clear favourites to beat Schalke 04 at home in the Bundesliga on Sunday 8 November 2026 at 18:30 UTC. It gives Hoffenheim a 61% chance of winning, puts the draw at 23% and gives Schalke 04 16%.

GossipBall expects 1.9 goals from Hoffenheim and 0.9 from Schalke 04, so the goals line is finely balanced: there is a 53% chance of three or more goals and a 50% chance that both teams score. The likeliest single score is 2–0 (11%). Hoffenheim keep a clean sheet in 42% of outcomes, Schalke 04 in 15%.

Hoffenheim are 10th in the table with 9 points from 7 games; Schalke 04 are 16th with 6. In their last five league games Hoffenheim took 9 points (WLLWW) and Schalke 04 took 5 (WDLLD). This season Hoffenheim average 2.01 expected goals (xG) for and 1.31 against per game; Schalke 04 average 0.95 for and 1.82 against.

In 2 league meetings since 2022, Hoffenheim won 2, Schalke 04 won 0 and 0 were drawn; the most recent, on 9 Apr 2023, finished Hoffenheim 2–0 Schalke 04, a win for Hoffenheim.

GOSSIPBALL analysis · based on five seasons of results and expected goals · updated 29 October 2026, 20:50 UTC

Scoreline chances

How to read

Rows: Hoffenheim goalsColumns: Schalke 04 goals

2–011.3%

1–011.1%

1–111.0%

2–19.8%

3–07.2%

0–06.9%

Goals

Explained

1 or more goals

93%

2 or more goals

77%

3 or more goals

53%

4 or more goals

31%

5 or more goals

15%

Both teams score

50%

GOSSIPBALL expects 2.8 goals in total: 1.92 for Hoffenheim and 0.87 for Schalke 04.

Winning margin

Explained

Hoffenheim by 3

11%

Hoffenheim by 2

19%

Hoffenheim by 1

24%

Draw

23%

Schalke 04 by 3

Schalke 04 by 2

Schalke 04 by 1

10%

Each team's goals

Explained

Hoffenheim expected goals1.92

Schalke 04 expected goals0.87

Hoffenheim keep a clean sheet42%

Schalke 04 keep a clean sheet15%

Hoffenheim win without conceding35%

Schalke 04 win without conceding8%

Hoffenheim score 2 or more57%

Schalke 04 score 2 or more22%

Recent form

Hoffenheim

W v Bayer Leverkusen3–0 · 25 Oct

W @ Gladbach2–1 · 18 Oct

L v Hamburg2–3 · 10 Oct

L @ Paderborn1–3 · 20 Sep

W v Stuttgart2–1 · 12 Sep

Schalke 04

D @ FC Köln0–0 · 24 Oct

L v Mainz0–1 · 17 Oct

L @ Freiburg1–2 · 11 Oct

D v Elversberg0–0 · 20 Sep

W @ Union Berlin3–1 · 11 Sep

Head to head

In 2 league meetings since 2022, Hoffenheim won 2, Schalke 04 won 0 and 0 were drawn; the most recent, on 9 Apr 2023, finished Hoffenheim 2–0 Schalke 04, a win for Hoffenheim.

Hoffenheim 2–0 Schalke 049 Apr 2023

Schalke 04 0–3 Hoffenheim14 Oct 2022

Season averages per game

HOS0

2.00

Goals

0.57

2.00

Conceded

1.00

2.01

0.95

1.31

xG against

1.82

18.1

Shots

10.0

5.4

On target

3.1

6.4

Corners

3.3

2.14

Yellow cards

1.14

14%

Clean sheets

43%

86%

Both score

29%

100%

3+ goals

43%

Questions and answers

Who will win Hoffenheim vs Schalke 04?

GossipBall gives Hoffenheim a 61% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Schalke 04 16%. GossipBall makes Hoffenheim clear favourites to beat Schalke 04 at home.

What is the most likely score in Hoffenheim vs Schalke 04?

The likeliest single score is 2–0, with a 11% chance. The next most likely are 1–0 (11%), 1–1 (11%), 2–1 (10%).

Will both teams score in Hoffenheim vs Schalke 04?

GossipBall gives a 50% chance that both Hoffenheim and Schalke 04 score.

Will there be three or more goals in Hoffenheim vs Schalke 04?

There is a 53% chance of three or more goals. GossipBall expects 2.8 goals in total (1.9 for Hoffenheim, 0.9 for Schalke 04).

When is Hoffenheim vs Schalke 04?

Kick-off is Sunday 8 November 2026 at 18:30 UTC.

What is the head-to-head record between Hoffenheim and Schalke 04?

In 2 league meetings since 2022, Hoffenheim won 2, Schalke 04 won 0 and 0 were drawn; the most recent, on 9 Apr 2023, finished Hoffenheim 2–0 Schalke 04, a win for Hoffenheim.