Hoffenheim vs Stuttgart result and stats
Win probability: home 34%, draw 22%, away 43%
Match report
GOSSIPBALL's parrot has been crunching the numbersHoffenheim beat Stuttgart 2–1 at home in the Bundesliga on Saturday 12 September 2026. Before kick-off GossipBall gave Hoffenheim 34%, the draw 22% and Stuttgart 43%, so a home win had a 34% chance. It was an upset by GossipBall's numbers.
On expected goals it finished Hoffenheim 2.76, Stuttgart 2.17, so Hoffenheim created the better chances. Hoffenheim had 20 shots (8 on target) to Stuttgart's 16 (5 on target).
GOSSIPBALL analysis · based on five seasons of results and expected goals · updated 29 October 2026, 20:50 UTC
Match stats
HOST
2.76Expected goals2.17
20Shots16
8On target5
5Corners7
15Fouls8
1Yellow cards0
0Red cards0
1Half-time goals0
Recent form
Hoffenheim
L v Borussia Dortmund2–3 · 5 Sep
L @ FC Köln2–3 · 29 Aug
L @ Gladbach0–4 · 16 May
W v Werder Bremen1–0 · 9 May
D v Stuttgart3–3 · 2 May
Stuttgart
W v FC Köln4–1 · 4 Sep
L @ Bayern Munich1–5 · 28 Aug
D @ Eintracht Frankfurt2–2 · 16 May
W v Bayer Leverkusen3–1 · 9 May
D @ Hoffenheim3–3 · 2 May
Head to head
In 10 league meetings since 2021, Hoffenheim won 2, Stuttgart won 2 and 6 were drawn; the most recent, on 2 May 2026, was a 3–3 draw.
Hoffenheim 3–3 Stuttgart2 May 2026
Stuttgart 0–0 Hoffenheim20 Dec 2025
Hoffenheim 1–1 Stuttgart23 Feb 2025
Stuttgart 1–1 Hoffenheim6 Oct 2024
Hoffenheim 0–3 Stuttgart16 Mar 2024
Stuttgart 2–3 Hoffenheim28 Oct 2023
Season averages per game
HOST
2.00Goals1.43
2.00Conceded1.86
2.01xG1.94
1.31xG against2.44
18.1Shots16.9
5.4On target5.7
6.4Corners6.6
2.14Yellow cards1.14
14%Clean sheets14%
86%Both score57%
100%3+ goals57%