GOSSIPBALL
BundesligaMatchday 9Saturday 7 November 2026 ·

RB Leipzig vs Augsburg prediction

65%
home win
likeliest score
2–1
9.6% chance
19%
draw
15%
away win
Win probability: home 65%, draw 19%, away 15%

Match preview

GOSSIPBALL's parrot has been crunching the numbers

GossipBall makes RB Leipzig clear favourites to beat Augsburg at home in the Bundesliga on Saturday 7 November 2026 at 14:30 UTC. It gives RB Leipzig a 65% chance of winning, puts the draw at 19% and gives Augsburg 15%.

GossipBall expects 2.4 goals from RB Leipzig and 1.1 from Augsburg, so goals look likely: there is a 67% chance of three or more goals and a 61% chance that both teams score. The likeliest single score is 2–1 (10%). RB Leipzig keep a clean sheet in 34% of outcomes, Augsburg in 9%.

RB Leipzig are 5th in the table with 12 points from 7 games; Augsburg are 9th with 9. In their last five league games RB Leipzig took 9 points (WLWLW) and Augsburg took 3 (DLDLD). This season RB Leipzig average 2.37 expected goals (xG) for and 1.58 against per game; Augsburg average 2.16 for and 2.74 against.

In 10 league meetings since 2021, RB Leipzig won 6, Augsburg won 0 and 4 were drawn; the most recent, on 7 Mar 2026, finished RB Leipzig 2–1 Augsburg, a win for RB Leipzig.

GOSSIPBALL analysis · based on five seasons of results and expected goals · updated 29 October 2026, 20:50 UTC

Scoreline chances

How to read
0
1
2
3
4
5
0
4
3
2
<1
<1
1
7
9
4
2
<1
<1
2
9
10
5
2
<1
<1
3
7
8
4
2
<1
4
4
5
2
<1
<1
5
2
2
1
<1
<1
Rows: RB Leipzig goalsColumns: Augsburg goals
2–19.6%
2–08.8%
1–18.7%
3–17.6%
3–07.0%
1–06.8%
1 or more goals
96%
2 or more goals
87%
3 or more goals
67%
4 or more goals
46%
5 or more goals
27%
Both teams score
61%

GOSSIPBALL expects 3.5 goals in total: 2.37 for RB Leipzig and 1.09 for Augsburg.

Winning margin

Explained
RB Leipzig by 3
13%
RB Leipzig by 2
19%
RB Leipzig by 1
22%
Draw
19%
Augsburg by 3
1%
Augsburg by 2
4%
Augsburg by 1
10%

Each team's goals

Explained
RB Leipzig expected goals2.37
Augsburg expected goals1.09
RB Leipzig keep a clean sheet34%
Augsburg keep a clean sheet9%
RB Leipzig win without conceding30%
Augsburg win without conceding6%
RB Leipzig score 2 or more69%
Augsburg score 2 or more30%

Recent form

RB Leipzig
W v Elversberg4–0 · 24 Oct
L @ Bayern Munich1–6 · 17 Oct
W v Eintracht Frankfurt6–0 · 10 Oct
L @ Bayer Leverkusen0–2 · 20 Sep
W v Hamburg5–0 · 13 Sep
Augsburg
D v Union Berlin1–1 · 24 Oct
L @ Elversberg3–4 · 17 Oct
D v Bayern Munich2–2 · 10 Oct
L @ Werder Bremen2–3 · 19 Sep
D v Bayer Leverkusen2–2 · 12 Sep

Head to head

In 10 league meetings since 2021, RB Leipzig won 6, Augsburg won 0 and 4 were drawn; the most recent, on 7 Mar 2026, finished RB Leipzig 2–1 Augsburg, a win for RB Leipzig.

RB Leipzig 2–1 Augsburg7 Mar 2026
Augsburg 0–6 RB Leipzig25 Oct 2025
Augsburg 0–0 RB Leipzig14 Feb 2025
RB Leipzig 4–0 Augsburg28 Sep 2024
Augsburg 2–2 RB Leipzig10 Feb 2024
RB Leipzig 3–0 Augsburg16 Sep 2023

Season averages per game

RLAU
2.86
Goals
2.43
1.57
Conceded
1.86
2.37
xG
2.16
1.58
xG against
2.74
17.1
Shots
17.7
6.4
On target
6.7
5.3
Corners
5.9
1.00
Yellow cards
1.57
57%
Clean sheets
14%
29%
Both score
86%
86%
3+ goals
86%

Questions and answers

Who will win RB Leipzig vs Augsburg?

GossipBall gives RB Leipzig a 65% chance of winning, the draw 19% and Augsburg 15%. GossipBall makes RB Leipzig clear favourites to beat Augsburg at home.

What is the most likely score in RB Leipzig vs Augsburg?

The likeliest single score is 2–1, with a 10% chance. The next most likely are 2–0 (9%), 1–1 (9%), 3–1 (8%).

Will both teams score in RB Leipzig vs Augsburg?

GossipBall gives a 61% chance that both RB Leipzig and Augsburg score.

Will there be three or more goals in RB Leipzig vs Augsburg?

There is a 67% chance of three or more goals. GossipBall expects 3.5 goals in total (2.4 for RB Leipzig, 1.1 for Augsburg).

When is RB Leipzig vs Augsburg?

Kick-off is Saturday 7 November 2026 at 14:30 UTC.

What is the head-to-head record between RB Leipzig and Augsburg?

In 10 league meetings since 2021, RB Leipzig won 6, Augsburg won 0 and 4 were drawn; the most recent, on 7 Mar 2026, finished RB Leipzig 2–1 Augsburg, a win for RB Leipzig.

GOSSIPBALL is a football statistics site, not a gambling service. We do not offer, promote, advertise or link to betting or gambling of any kind, show no bookmaker odds and receive no money from gambling companies. Predictions are statistical probabilities for information and entertainment only; they are not advice of any kind. Legal notice

Not affiliated with any league, club or governing body; names are used for identification only and no club or league logos are shown. Data: football-data.co.uk, football-data.org and openfootball. Photos: Sebastian Schuster, Victor, Lukáš Parničan and nika tchokhonelidze on Unsplash.

Updated 29 October 2026, 20:50 UTC · About · Legal & privacy · Guide · Track record · [email protected]