BundesligaMatchday 8Saturday 31 October 2026 · 14:30

Schalke 04 vs RB Leipzig prediction

Schalke 04

18%

home win

likeliest score

0–1

12.3% chance

25%

draw

RB Leipzig

57%

away win

Win probability: home 18%, draw 25%, away 57%

Match preview

GOSSIPBALL's parrot has been crunching the numbers

GossipBall makes RB Leipzig favourites to beat Schalke 04 away from home in the Bundesliga on Saturday 31 October 2026 at 14:30 UTC. It gives Schalke 04 a 18% chance of winning, puts the draw at 25% and gives RB Leipzig 57%.

GossipBall expects 0.9 goals from Schalke 04 and 1.7 from RB Leipzig, so the goals line is finely balanced: there is a 47% chance of three or more goals and a 48% chance that both teams score. The likeliest single score is 0–1 (12%). Schalke 04 keep a clean sheet in 18% of outcomes, RB Leipzig in 42%.

Schalke 04 are 16th in the table with 6 points from 7 games; RB Leipzig are 5th with 12. In their last five league games Schalke 04 took 5 points (WDLLD) and RB Leipzig took 9 (WLWLW). This season Schalke 04 average 0.95 expected goals (xG) for and 1.82 against per game; RB Leipzig average 2.37 for and 1.58 against.

In 2 league meetings since 2023, Schalke 04 won 0, RB Leipzig won 2 and 0 were drawn; the most recent, on 27 May 2023, finished RB Leipzig 4–2 Schalke 04, a win for RB Leipzig.

GOSSIPBALL analysis · based on five seasons of results and expected goals · updated 29 October 2026, 20:50 UTC

Scoreline chances

How to read

Rows: Schalke 04 goalsColumns: RB Leipzig goals

0–112.3%

1–112.1%

0–211.2%

1–29.6%

0–08.5%

0–36.4%

Goals

Explained

1 or more goals

92%

2 or more goals

73%

3 or more goals

47%

4 or more goals

26%

5 or more goals

12%

Both teams score

48%

GOSSIPBALL expects 2.6 goals in total: 0.86 for Schalke 04 and 1.71 for RB Leipzig.

Winning margin

Explained

Schalke 04 by 3

Schalke 04 by 2

Schalke 04 by 1

12%

Draw

25%

RB Leipzig by 3

RB Leipzig by 2

18%

RB Leipzig by 1

25%

Each team's goals

Explained

Schalke 04 expected goals0.86

RB Leipzig expected goals1.71

Schalke 04 keep a clean sheet18%

RB Leipzig keep a clean sheet42%

Schalke 04 win without conceding10%

RB Leipzig win without conceding34%

Schalke 04 score 2 or more21%

RB Leipzig score 2 or more51%

Recent form

Schalke 04

D @ FC Köln0–0 · 24 Oct

L v Mainz0–1 · 17 Oct

L @ Freiburg1–2 · 11 Oct

D v Elversberg0–0 · 20 Sep

W @ Union Berlin3–1 · 11 Sep

RB Leipzig

W v Elversberg4–0 · 24 Oct

L @ Bayern Munich1–6 · 17 Oct

W v Eintracht Frankfurt6–0 · 10 Oct

L @ Bayer Leverkusen0–2 · 20 Sep

W v Hamburg5–0 · 13 Sep

Head to head

In 2 league meetings since 2023, Schalke 04 won 0, RB Leipzig won 2 and 0 were drawn; the most recent, on 27 May 2023, finished RB Leipzig 4–2 Schalke 04, a win for RB Leipzig.

RB Leipzig 4–2 Schalke 0427 May 2023

Schalke 04 1–6 RB Leipzig24 Jan 2023

Season averages per game

S0RL

0.57

Goals

2.86

1.00

Conceded

1.57

0.95

2.37

1.82

xG against

1.58

10.0

Shots

17.1

3.1

On target

6.4

3.3

Corners

5.3

1.14

Yellow cards

1.00

43%

Clean sheets

57%

29%

Both score

29%

43%

3+ goals

86%

Questions and answers

Who will win Schalke 04 vs RB Leipzig?

GossipBall gives Schalke 04 a 18% chance of winning, the draw 25% and RB Leipzig 57%. GossipBall makes RB Leipzig favourites to beat Schalke 04 away from home.

What is the most likely score in Schalke 04 vs RB Leipzig?

The likeliest single score is 0–1, with a 12% chance. The next most likely are 1–1 (12%), 0–2 (11%), 1–2 (10%).

Will both teams score in Schalke 04 vs RB Leipzig?

GossipBall gives a 48% chance that both Schalke 04 and RB Leipzig score.

Will there be three or more goals in Schalke 04 vs RB Leipzig?

There is a 47% chance of three or more goals. GossipBall expects 2.6 goals in total (0.9 for Schalke 04, 1.7 for RB Leipzig).

When is Schalke 04 vs RB Leipzig?

Kick-off is Saturday 31 October 2026 at 14:30 UTC.

What is the head-to-head record between Schalke 04 and RB Leipzig?

In 2 league meetings since 2023, Schalke 04 won 0, RB Leipzig won 2 and 0 were drawn; the most recent, on 27 May 2023, finished RB Leipzig 4–2 Schalke 04, a win for RB Leipzig.