GOSSIPBALL
BundesligaMatchday 9Saturday 7 November 2026 ·

Stuttgart vs Werder Bremen prediction

62%
home win
likeliest score
2–1
9.6% chance
20%
draw
18%
away win
Win probability: home 62%, draw 20%, away 18%

Match preview

GOSSIPBALL's parrot has been crunching the numbers

GossipBall makes Stuttgart clear favourites to beat Werder Bremen at home in the Bundesliga on Saturday 7 November 2026 at 17:30 UTC. It gives Stuttgart a 62% chance of winning, puts the draw at 20% and gives Werder Bremen 18%.

GossipBall expects 2.3 goals from Stuttgart and 1.2 from Werder Bremen, so goals look likely: there is a 68% chance of three or more goals and a 63% chance that both teams score. The likeliest single score is 2–1 (10%). Stuttgart keep a clean sheet in 30% of outcomes, Werder Bremen in 10%.

Stuttgart are 15th in the table with 6 points from 7 games; Werder Bremen are 6th with 12. In their last five league games Stuttgart took 3 points (LLWLL) and Werder Bremen took 9 (DWDDW). This season Stuttgart average 1.94 expected goals (xG) for and 2.44 against per game; Werder Bremen average 1.77 for and 1.64 against.

In 8 league meetings since 2022, Stuttgart won 2, Werder Bremen won 3 and 3 were drawn; the most recent, on 26 Apr 2026, was a 1–1 draw.

GOSSIPBALL analysis · based on five seasons of results and expected goals · updated 29 October 2026, 20:50 UTC

Scoreline chances

How to read
0
1
2
3
4
5
0
4
3
2
<1
<1
1
6
9
5
2
<1
<1
2
8
10
6
2
<1
<1
3
6
7
4
2
<1
<1
4
4
4
3
1
<1
5
2
2
1
<1
<1
Rows: Stuttgart goalsColumns: Werder Bremen goals
2–19.6%
1–18.8%
2–08.1%
3–17.4%
1–06.3%
3–06.2%
1 or more goals
96%
2 or more goals
87%
3 or more goals
68%
4 or more goals
47%
5 or more goals
28%
Both teams score
63%

GOSSIPBALL expects 3.5 goals in total: 2.33 for Stuttgart and 1.19 for Werder Bremen.

Winning margin

Explained
Stuttgart by 3
12%
Stuttgart by 2
19%
Stuttgart by 1
21%
Draw
20%
Werder Bremen by 3
2%
Werder Bremen by 2
5%
Werder Bremen by 1
11%

Each team's goals

Explained
Stuttgart expected goals2.33
Werder Bremen expected goals1.19
Stuttgart keep a clean sheet30%
Werder Bremen keep a clean sheet10%
Stuttgart win without conceding27%
Werder Bremen win without conceding6%
Stuttgart score 2 or more67%
Werder Bremen score 2 or more33%

Recent form

Stuttgart
L v Gladbach2–3 · 23 Oct
L @ Hamburg0–1 · 17 Oct
W @ Paderborn2–0 · 10 Oct
L v Borussia Dortmund0–1 · 19 Sep
L @ Hoffenheim1–2 · 12 Sep
Werder Bremen
W @ Mainz3–2 · 24 Oct
D v Paderborn2–2 · 17 Oct
D @ Borussia Dortmund2–2 · 9 Oct
W v Augsburg3–2 · 19 Sep
D @ FC Köln1–1 · 12 Sep

Head to head

In 8 league meetings since 2022, Stuttgart won 2, Werder Bremen won 3 and 3 were drawn; the most recent, on 26 Apr 2026, was a 1–1 draw.

Stuttgart 1–1 Werder Bremen26 Apr 2026
Werder Bremen 0–4 Stuttgart14 Dec 2025
Stuttgart 1–2 Werder Bremen13 Apr 2025
Werder Bremen 2–2 Stuttgart30 Nov 2024
Werder Bremen 2–1 Stuttgart21 Apr 2024
Stuttgart 2–0 Werder Bremen2 Dec 2023

Season averages per game

STWB
1.43
Goals
2.14
1.86
Conceded
2.00
1.94
xG
1.77
2.44
xG against
1.64
16.9
Shots
14.4
5.7
On target
7.0
6.6
Corners
4.0
1.14
Yellow cards
1.14
14%
Clean sheets
0%
57%
Both score
100%
57%
3+ goals
86%

Questions and answers

Who will win Stuttgart vs Werder Bremen?

GossipBall gives Stuttgart a 62% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Werder Bremen 18%. GossipBall makes Stuttgart clear favourites to beat Werder Bremen at home.

What is the most likely score in Stuttgart vs Werder Bremen?

The likeliest single score is 2–1, with a 10% chance. The next most likely are 1–1 (9%), 2–0 (8%), 3–1 (7%).

Will both teams score in Stuttgart vs Werder Bremen?

GossipBall gives a 63% chance that both Stuttgart and Werder Bremen score.

Will there be three or more goals in Stuttgart vs Werder Bremen?

There is a 68% chance of three or more goals. GossipBall expects 3.5 goals in total (2.3 for Stuttgart, 1.2 for Werder Bremen).

When is Stuttgart vs Werder Bremen?

Kick-off is Saturday 7 November 2026 at 17:30 UTC.

What is the head-to-head record between Stuttgart and Werder Bremen?

In 8 league meetings since 2022, Stuttgart won 2, Werder Bremen won 3 and 3 were drawn; the most recent, on 26 Apr 2026, was a 1–1 draw.

GOSSIPBALL is a football statistics site, not a gambling service. We do not offer, promote, advertise or link to betting or gambling of any kind, show no bookmaker odds and receive no money from gambling companies. Predictions are statistical probabilities for information and entertainment only; they are not advice of any kind. Legal notice

Not affiliated with any league, club or governing body; names are used for identification only and no club or league logos are shown. Data: football-data.co.uk, football-data.org and openfootball. Photos: Sebastian Schuster, Victor, Lukáš Parničan and nika tchokhonelidze on Unsplash.

Updated 29 October 2026, 20:50 UTC · About · Legal & privacy · Guide · Track record · [email protected]