Union Berlin vs Elversberg result and stats
Win probability: home 30%, draw 25%, away 45%
Match report
GOSSIPBALL's parrot has been crunching the numbersUnion Berlin beat Elversberg 1–0 at home in the Bundesliga on Saturday 10 October 2026. Before kick-off GossipBall gave Union Berlin 30%, the draw 25% and Elversberg 45%, so a home win had a 30% chance. It was an upset by GossipBall's numbers.
On expected goals it finished Union Berlin 1.13, Elversberg 0.24, so Union Berlin created the better chances. Union Berlin had 19 shots (6 on target) to Elversberg's 7 (2 on target).
GOSSIPBALL analysis · based on five seasons of results and expected goals · updated 29 October 2026, 20:50 UTC
Match stats
UBEL
1.13Expected goals0.24
19Shots7
6On target2
7Corners3
14Fouls9
2Yellow cards1
0Red cards0
0Half-time goals0
Recent form
Union Berlin
L @ Bayern Munich0–7 · 18 Sep
L v Schalke 041–3 · 11 Sep
L @ Bayer Leverkusen0–4 · 5 Sep
D v Eintracht Frankfurt3–3 · 29 Aug
W v Augsburg4–0 · 16 May
Elversberg
D @ Schalke 040–0 · 20 Sep
L v Bayern Munich1–2 · 13 Sep
W @ Gladbach4–3 · 5 Sep
W v Bayer Leverkusen3–2 · 29 Aug
Head to head
These teams haven't met in this league in the last five seasons.
Season averages per game
UBEL
0.86Goals1.71
2.57Conceded2.14
1.10xG1.48
2.01xG against2.29
11.9Shots10.3
3.9On target4.1
3.6Corners4.0
2.57Yellow cards2.00
29%Clean sheets14%
43%Both score57%
57%3+ goals71%