Union Berlin vs Schalke 04 result and stats
Win probability: home 51%, draw 27%, away 21%
Match report
GOSSIPBALL's parrot has been crunching the numbersSchalke 04 won 3–1 away at Union Berlin in the Bundesliga on Friday 11 September 2026. Before kick-off GossipBall gave Union Berlin 51%, the draw 27% and Schalke 04 21%, so an away win had a 21% chance. It was an upset by GossipBall's numbers.
On expected goals it finished Union Berlin 1.95, Schalke 04 2.51, so Schalke 04 created the better chances. Union Berlin had 20 shots (8 on target) to Schalke 04's 19 (10 on target).
GOSSIPBALL analysis · based on five seasons of results and expected goals · updated 29 October 2026, 20:50 UTC
Match stats
UBS0
1.95Expected goals2.51
20Shots19
8On target10
4Corners5
11Fouls10
3Yellow cards1
0Red cards0
0Half-time goals1
Recent form
Union Berlin
L @ Bayer Leverkusen0–4 · 5 Sep
D v Eintracht Frankfurt3–3 · 29 Aug
W v Augsburg4–0 · 16 May
W @ Mainz3–1 · 10 May
D v FC Köln2–2 · 2 May
Schalke 04
D v Bayern Munich0–0 · 5 Sep
L @ Augsburg0–3 · 30 Aug
L @ RB Leipzig2–4 · 27 May
D v Eintracht Frankfurt2–2 · 20 May
L @ Bayern Munich0–6 · 13 May
Head to head
In 2 league meetings since 2022, Union Berlin won 1, Schalke 04 won 0 and 1 was drawn; the most recent, on 19 Feb 2023, was a 0–0 draw.
Union Berlin 0–0 Schalke 0419 Feb 2023
Schalke 04 1–6 Union Berlin27 Aug 2022
Season averages per game
UBS0
0.86Goals0.57
2.57Conceded1.00
1.10xG0.95
2.01xG against1.82
11.9Shots10.0
3.9On target3.1
3.6Corners3.3
2.57Yellow cards1.14
29%Clean sheets43%
43%Both score29%
57%3+ goals43%