Werder Bremen vs RB Leipzig result and stats
Win probability: home 24%, draw 25%, away 51%
Match report
GOSSIPBALL's parrot has been crunching the numbersWerder Bremen beat RB Leipzig 3–1 at home in the Bundesliga on Saturday 5 September 2026. Before kick-off GossipBall gave Werder Bremen 24%, the draw 25% and RB Leipzig 51%, so a home win had a 24% chance. It was an upset by GossipBall's numbers.
On expected goals it finished Werder Bremen 0.95, RB Leipzig 1.50, so RB Leipzig created the better chances. Werder Bremen had 12 shots (7 on target) to RB Leipzig's 19 (5 on target).
GOSSIPBALL analysis · based on five seasons of results and expected goals · updated 29 October 2026, 20:50 UTC
Match stats
WBRL
0.95Expected goals1.50
12Shots19
7On target5
2Corners7
13Fouls8
1Yellow cards0
0Red cards0
1Half-time goals0
Recent form
Werder Bremen
L @ Freiburg1–4 · 30 Aug
L v Borussia Dortmund0–2 · 16 May
L @ Hoffenheim0–1 · 9 May
L v Augsburg1–3 · 2 May
D @ Stuttgart1–1 · 26 Apr
RB Leipzig
W v Gladbach3–0 · 29 Aug
L @ Freiburg1–4 · 16 May
W v St Pauli2–1 · 9 May
L @ Bayer Leverkusen1–4 · 2 May
W v Union Berlin3–1 · 24 Apr
Head to head
In 8 league meetings since 2022, Werder Bremen won 0, RB Leipzig won 5 and 3 were drawn; the most recent, on 4 Apr 2026, finished Werder Bremen 1–2 RB Leipzig, a win for RB Leipzig.
Werder Bremen 1–2 RB Leipzig4 Apr 2026
RB Leipzig 2–0 Werder Bremen23 Nov 2025
Werder Bremen 0–0 RB Leipzig10 May 2025
RB Leipzig 4–2 Werder Bremen12 Jan 2025
RB Leipzig 1–1 Werder Bremen11 May 2024
Werder Bremen 1–1 RB Leipzig19 Dec 2023
Season averages per game
WBRL
2.14Goals2.86
2.00Conceded1.57
1.77xG2.37
1.64xG against1.58
14.4Shots17.1
7.0On target6.4
4.0Corners5.3
1.14Yellow cards1.00
0%Clean sheets57%
100%Both score29%
86%3+ goals86%