GOSSIPBALL
Champions LeagueMatchday 4Tuesday 3 November 2026 ·

Manchester United vs Roma prediction

Manchester United
45%
home win
likeliest score
1–1
10.6% chance
24%
draw
Roma
31%
away win
Win probability: home 45%, draw 24%, away 31%

Match preview

GOSSIPBALL's parrot has been crunching the numbers

GossipBall makes Manchester United favourites to beat Roma at home in the Champions League on Tuesday 3 November 2026 at 20:00 UTC. It gives Manchester United a 45% chance of winning, puts the draw at 24% and gives Roma 31%.

GossipBall expects 1.8 goals from Manchester United and 1.5 from Roma, so goals look likely: there is a 63% chance of three or more goals and a 64% chance that both teams score. The likeliest single score is 1–1 (11%). Manchester United keep a clean sheet in 23% of outcomes, Roma in 17%.

GOSSIPBALL analysis · based on five seasons of results and expected goals · updated 29 October 2026, 20:50 UTC

Scoreline chances

How to read
0
1
2
3
4
5
0
4
5
4
2
<1
<1
1
6
11
7
4
1
<1
2
6
9
7
3
1
<1
3
4
5
4
2
<1
<1
4
2
2
2
<1
<1
5
<1
<1
<1
<1
<1
Rows: Manchester United goalsColumns: Roma goals
1–110.6%
2–19.1%
1–27.3%
2–26.6%
1–06.5%
2–06.3%
1 or more goals
96%
2 or more goals
84%
3 or more goals
63%
4 or more goals
41%
5 or more goals
23%
Both teams score
64%

GOSSIPBALL expects 3.2 goals in total: 1.80 for Manchester United and 1.45 for Roma.

Winning margin

Explained
Manchester United by 3
7%
Manchester United by 2
14%
Manchester United by 1
20%
Draw
24%
Roma by 3
4%
Roma by 2
9%
Roma by 1
16%

Each team's goals

Explained
Manchester United expected goals1.80
Roma expected goals1.45
Manchester United keep a clean sheet23%
Roma keep a clean sheet17%
Manchester United win without conceding19%
Roma win without conceding12%
Manchester United score 2 or more54%
Roma score 2 or more43%

Questions and answers

Who will win Manchester United vs Roma?

GossipBall gives Manchester United a 45% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Roma 31%. GossipBall makes Manchester United favourites to beat Roma at home.

What is the most likely score in Manchester United vs Roma?

The likeliest single score is 1–1, with a 11% chance. The next most likely are 2–1 (9%), 1–2 (7%), 2–2 (7%).

Will both teams score in Manchester United vs Roma?

GossipBall gives a 64% chance that both Manchester United and Roma score.

Will there be three or more goals in Manchester United vs Roma?

There is a 63% chance of three or more goals. GossipBall expects 3.2 goals in total (1.8 for Manchester United, 1.5 for Roma).

When is Manchester United vs Roma?

Kick-off is Tuesday 3 November 2026 at 20:00 UTC.

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Not affiliated with any league, club or governing body; names are used for identification only and no club or league logos are shown. Data: football-data.co.uk, football-data.org and openfootball. Photos: Sebastian Schuster, Victor, Lukáš Parničan and nika tchokhonelidze on Unsplash.

Updated 29 October 2026, 20:50 UTC · About · Legal & privacy · Guide · Track record · [email protected]