GOSSIPBALL
Champions LeagueMatchday 4Tuesday 3 November 2026 ·

Villarreal vs Paris Saint-Germain prediction

Villarreal
31%
home win
likeliest score
1–2
8.2% chance
21%
draw
Paris Saint-Germain
47%
away win
Win probability: home 31%, draw 21%, away 47%

Match preview

GOSSIPBALL's parrot has been crunching the numbers

GossipBall makes Paris Saint-Germain favourites to beat Villarreal away from home in the Champions League on Tuesday 3 November 2026 at 20:00 UTC. It gives Villarreal a 31% chance of winning, puts the draw at 21% and gives Paris Saint-Germain 47%.

GossipBall expects 1.7 goals from Villarreal and 2.2 from Paris Saint-Germain, so goals look likely: there is a 75% chance of three or more goals and a 73% chance that both teams score. The likeliest single score is 1–2 (8%). Villarreal keep a clean sheet in 12% of outcomes, Paris Saint-Germain in 18%.

GOSSIPBALL analysis · based on five seasons of results and expected goals · updated 29 October 2026, 20:50 UTC

Scoreline chances

How to read
0
1
2
3
4
5
0
2
4
5
3
2
<1
1
3
8
8
6
3
1
2
3
7
7
5
3
1
3
2
4
4
3
2
<1
4
<1
2
2
1
<1
<1
5
<1
<1
<1
<1
<1
<1
Rows: Villarreal goalsColumns: Paris Saint-Germain goals
1–28.2%
1–18.0%
2–27.1%
2–16.6%
1–35.9%
2–35.1%
1 or more goals
98%
2 or more goals
90%
3 or more goals
75%
4 or more goals
55%
5 or more goals
35%
Both teams score
73%

GOSSIPBALL expects 3.9 goals in total: 1.74 for Villarreal and 2.16 for Paris Saint-Germain.

Winning margin

Explained
Villarreal by 3
4%
Villarreal by 2
9%
Villarreal by 1
16%
Draw
21%
Paris Saint-Germain by 3
8%
Paris Saint-Germain by 2
14%
Paris Saint-Germain by 1
19%

Each team's goals

Explained
Villarreal expected goals1.74
Paris Saint-Germain expected goals2.16
Villarreal keep a clean sheet12%
Paris Saint-Germain keep a clean sheet18%
Villarreal win without conceding9%
Paris Saint-Germain win without conceding15%
Villarreal score 2 or more52%
Paris Saint-Germain score 2 or more64%

Questions and answers

Who will win Villarreal vs Paris Saint-Germain?

GossipBall gives Villarreal a 31% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Paris Saint-Germain 47%. GossipBall makes Paris Saint-Germain favourites to beat Villarreal away from home.

What is the most likely score in Villarreal vs Paris Saint-Germain?

The likeliest single score is 1–2, with a 8% chance. The next most likely are 1–1 (8%), 2–2 (7%), 2–1 (7%).

Will both teams score in Villarreal vs Paris Saint-Germain?

GossipBall gives a 73% chance that both Villarreal and Paris Saint-Germain score.

Will there be three or more goals in Villarreal vs Paris Saint-Germain?

There is a 75% chance of three or more goals. GossipBall expects 3.9 goals in total (1.7 for Villarreal, 2.2 for Paris Saint-Germain).

When is Villarreal vs Paris Saint-Germain?

Kick-off is Tuesday 3 November 2026 at 20:00 UTC.

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Not affiliated with any league, club or governing body; names are used for identification only and no club or league logos are shown. Data: football-data.co.uk, football-data.org and openfootball. Photos: Sebastian Schuster, Victor, Lukáš Parničan and nika tchokhonelidze on Unsplash.

Updated 29 October 2026, 20:50 UTC · About · Legal & privacy · Guide · Track record · [email protected]