GOSSIPBALL
Champions LeagueMatchday 4Wednesday 4 November 2026 ·

Lens vs Como prediction

Lens
20%
home win
likeliest score
1–1
9.9% chance
22%
draw
Como
58%
away win
Win probability: home 20%, draw 22%, away 58%

Match preview

GOSSIPBALL's parrot has been crunching the numbers

GossipBall makes Como favourites to beat Lens away from home in the Champions League on Wednesday 4 November 2026 at 20:00 UTC. It gives Lens a 20% chance of winning, puts the draw at 22% and gives Como 58%.

GossipBall expects 1.2 goals from Lens and 2.1 from Como, so goals look likely: there is a 63% chance of three or more goals and a 61% chance that both teams score. The likeliest single score is 1–1 (10%). Lens keep a clean sheet in 12% of outcomes, Como in 31%.

GOSSIPBALL analysis · based on five seasons of results and expected goals · updated 29 October 2026, 20:50 UTC

Scoreline chances

How to read
0
1
2
3
4
5
0
4
8
8
6
3
1
1
4
10
10
7
4
2
2
3
5
6
4
2
<1
3
1
2
2
2
<1
<1
4
<1
<1
<1
<1
<1
<1
5
<1
<1
<1
Rows: Lens goalsColumns: Como goals
1–19.9%
1–29.8%
0–28.5%
0–17.6%
1–36.9%
0–35.9%
1 or more goals
96%
2 or more goals
84%
3 or more goals
63%
4 or more goals
41%
5 or more goals
23%
Both teams score
61%

GOSSIPBALL expects 3.3 goals in total: 1.16 for Lens and 2.09 for Como.

Winning margin

Explained
Lens by 3
2%
Lens by 2
5%
Lens by 1
12%
Draw
22%
Como by 3
10%
Como by 2
18%
Como by 1
22%

Each team's goals

Explained
Lens expected goals1.16
Como expected goals2.09
Lens keep a clean sheet12%
Como keep a clean sheet31%
Lens win without conceding8%
Como win without conceding27%
Lens score 2 or more32%
Como score 2 or more62%

Questions and answers

Who will win Lens vs Como?

GossipBall gives Lens a 20% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Como 58%. GossipBall makes Como favourites to beat Lens away from home.

What is the most likely score in Lens vs Como?

The likeliest single score is 1–1, with a 10% chance. The next most likely are 1–2 (10%), 0–2 (8%), 0–1 (8%).

Will both teams score in Lens vs Como?

GossipBall gives a 61% chance that both Lens and Como score.

Will there be three or more goals in Lens vs Como?

There is a 63% chance of three or more goals. GossipBall expects 3.3 goals in total (1.2 for Lens, 2.1 for Como).

When is Lens vs Como?

Kick-off is Wednesday 4 November 2026 at 20:00 UTC.

GOSSIPBALL is a football statistics site, not a gambling service. We do not offer, promote, advertise or link to betting or gambling of any kind, show no bookmaker odds and receive no money from gambling companies. Predictions are statistical probabilities for information and entertainment only; they are not advice of any kind. Legal notice

Not affiliated with any league, club or governing body; names are used for identification only and no club or league logos are shown. Data: football-data.co.uk, football-data.org and openfootball. Photos: Sebastian Schuster, Victor, Lukáš Parničan and nika tchokhonelidze on Unsplash.

Updated 29 October 2026, 20:50 UTC · About · Legal & privacy · Guide · Track record · [email protected]