PAE AEK vs Real Madrid prediction
Match preview
GOSSIPBALL's parrot has been crunching the numbersGossipBall makes Real Madrid clear favourites to beat PAE AEK away from home in the Champions League on Wednesday 4 November 2026 at 17:45 UTC. It gives PAE AEK a 5% chance of winning, puts the draw at 11% and gives Real Madrid 84%.
GossipBall expects 0.8 goals from PAE AEK and 3.3 from Real Madrid, so goals look likely: there is a 77% chance of three or more goals and a 53% chance that both teams score. The likeliest single score is 0–3 (10%). PAE AEK keep a clean sheet in 4% of outcomes, Real Madrid in 45%.
GOSSIPBALL analysis · based on five seasons of results and expected goals · updated 29 October 2026, 20:50 UTC
Scoreline chances
How to readGoals
ExplainedGOSSIPBALL expects 4.1 goals in total: 0.81 for PAE AEK and 3.28 for Real Madrid.
Winning margin
ExplainedEach team's goals
ExplainedQuestions and answers
Who will win PAE AEK vs Real Madrid?
GossipBall gives PAE AEK a 5% chance of winning, the draw 11% and Real Madrid 84%. GossipBall makes Real Madrid clear favourites to beat PAE AEK away from home.
What is the most likely score in PAE AEK vs Real Madrid?
The likeliest single score is 0–3, with a 10% chance. The next most likely are 0–2 (9%), 0–4 (8%), 1–3 (8%).
Will both teams score in PAE AEK vs Real Madrid?
GossipBall gives a 53% chance that both PAE AEK and Real Madrid score.
Will there be three or more goals in PAE AEK vs Real Madrid?
There is a 77% chance of three or more goals. GossipBall expects 4.1 goals in total (0.8 for PAE AEK, 3.3 for Real Madrid).
When is PAE AEK vs Real Madrid?
Kick-off is Wednesday 4 November 2026 at 17:45 UTC.