EredivisieMatchday 12Saturday 7 November 2026 · 17:45

Den Haag vs Sparta Rotterdam prediction

Den Haag

37%

home win

likeliest score

1–1

12.9% chance

27%

draw

Sparta Rotterdam

36%

away win

Win probability: home 37%, draw 27%, away 36%

Match preview

GOSSIPBALL's parrot has been crunching the numbers

GossipBall sees Den Haag against Sparta Rotterdam as too close to call in the Eredivisie on Saturday 7 November 2026 at 17:45 UTC. It gives Den Haag a 37% chance of winning, puts the draw at 27% and gives Sparta Rotterdam 36%.

GossipBall expects 1.5 goals from Den Haag and 1.4 from Sparta Rotterdam, so the goals line is finely balanced: there is a 56% chance of three or more goals and a 60% chance that both teams score. The likeliest single score is 1–1 (13%). Den Haag keep a clean sheet in 24% of outcomes, Sparta Rotterdam in 23%.

Den Haag are 17th in the table with 6 points from 10 games; Sparta Rotterdam are 14th with 9. In their last five league games Den Haag took 5 points (LDDWL) and Sparta Rotterdam took 4 (LLDWL). This season Den Haag average 1.17 expected goals (xG) for and 1.94 against per game; Sparta Rotterdam average 1.90 for and 1.86 against.

GOSSIPBALL analysis · based on five seasons of results and expected goals · updated 29 October 2026, 20:50 UTC

Scoreline chances

How to read

Rows: Den Haag goalsColumns: Sparta Rotterdam goals

1–112.9%

2–18.5%

1–28.3%

0–06.8%

1–06.6%

0–16.4%

Goals

Explained

1 or more goals

93%

2 or more goals

80%

3 or more goals

56%

4 or more goals

33%

5 or more goals

17%

Both teams score

60%

GOSSIPBALL expects 2.9 goals in total: 1.48 for Den Haag and 1.44 for Sparta Rotterdam.

Winning margin

Explained

Den Haag by 3

Den Haag by 2

11%

Den Haag by 1

19%

Draw

27%

Sparta Rotterdam by 3

Sparta Rotterdam by 2

11%

Sparta Rotterdam by 1

18%

Each team's goals

Explained

Den Haag expected goals1.48

Sparta Rotterdam expected goals1.44

Den Haag keep a clean sheet24%

Sparta Rotterdam keep a clean sheet23%

Den Haag win without conceding17%

Sparta Rotterdam win without conceding16%

Den Haag score 2 or more43%

Sparta Rotterdam score 2 or more42%

Recent form

Den Haag

L v Heerenveen2–3 · 24 Oct

W v PSV Eindhoven2–1 · 17 Oct

D @ Telstar2–2 · 11 Oct

D v Cambuur1–1 · 19 Sep

L @ Twente0–2 · 12 Sep

Sparta Rotterdam

L v Ajax1–2 · 25 Oct

W v Willem II3–2 · 17 Oct

D @ Go Ahead Eagles3–3 · 10 Oct

L v Heerenveen0–4 · 19 Sep

L @ PSV Eindhoven1–4 · 13 Sep

Head to head

These teams haven't met in this league in the last five seasons.

Season averages per game

DHSR

1.30

Goals

1.70

2.30

Conceded

2.40

1.17

1.90

1.94

xG against

1.86

12.5

Shots

14.3

3.8

On target

5.1

3.9

Corners

5.6

1.70

Yellow cards

1.60

Clean sheets

80%

Both score

80%

70%

3+ goals

90%

Questions and answers

Who will win Den Haag vs Sparta Rotterdam?

GossipBall gives Den Haag a 37% chance of winning, the draw 27% and Sparta Rotterdam 36%. GossipBall sees Den Haag against Sparta Rotterdam as too close to call.

What is the most likely score in Den Haag vs Sparta Rotterdam?

The likeliest single score is 1–1, with a 13% chance. The next most likely are 2–1 (8%), 1–2 (8%), 0–0 (7%).

Will both teams score in Den Haag vs Sparta Rotterdam?

GossipBall gives a 60% chance that both Den Haag and Sparta Rotterdam score.

Will there be three or more goals in Den Haag vs Sparta Rotterdam?

There is a 56% chance of three or more goals. GossipBall expects 2.9 goals in total (1.5 for Den Haag, 1.4 for Sparta Rotterdam).

When is Den Haag vs Sparta Rotterdam?

Kick-off is Saturday 7 November 2026 at 17:45 UTC.