EredivisieMatchday 12Saturday 7 November 2026 · 20:00

Excelsior vs Go Ahead Eagles prediction

Excelsior

35%

home win

likeliest score

1–1

12.2% chance

27%

draw

Go Ahead Eagles

38%

away win

Win probability: home 35%, draw 27%, away 38%

Match preview

GOSSIPBALL's parrot has been crunching the numbers

GossipBall sees Excelsior against Go Ahead Eagles as too close to call in the Eredivisie on Saturday 7 November 2026 at 20:00 UTC. It gives Excelsior a 35% chance of winning, puts the draw at 27% and gives Go Ahead Eagles 38%.

GossipBall expects 1.5 goals from Excelsior and 1.6 from Go Ahead Eagles, so goals look likely: there is a 60% chance of three or more goals and a 63% chance that both teams score. The likeliest single score is 1–1 (12%). Excelsior keep a clean sheet in 20% of outcomes, Go Ahead Eagles in 22%.

Excelsior are 13th in the table with 11 points from 10 games; Go Ahead Eagles are 9th with 14. In their last five league games Excelsior took 1 points (LDLLL) and Go Ahead Eagles took 6 (DDDLW). This season Excelsior average 1.27 expected goals (xG) for and 1.55 against per game; Go Ahead Eagles average 1.86 for and 1.66 against.

In 6 league meetings since 2022, Excelsior won 1, Go Ahead Eagles won 4 and 1 was drawn; the most recent, on 1 Mar 2026, finished Excelsior 0–1 Go Ahead Eagles, a win for Go Ahead Eagles.

GOSSIPBALL analysis · based on five seasons of results and expected goals · updated 29 October 2026, 20:50 UTC

Scoreline chances

How to read

Rows: Excelsior goalsColumns: Go Ahead Eagles goals

1–112.2%

1–28.6%

2–18.2%

2–26.5%

0–15.9%

0–05.9%

Goals

Explained

1 or more goals

94%

2 or more goals

83%

3 or more goals

60%

4 or more goals

37%

5 or more goals

20%

Both teams score

63%

GOSSIPBALL expects 3.1 goals in total: 1.51 for Excelsior and 1.58 for Go Ahead Eagles.

Winning margin

Explained

Excelsior by 3

Excelsior by 2

11%

Excelsior by 1

18%

Draw

27%

Go Ahead Eagles by 3

Go Ahead Eagles by 2

12%

Go Ahead Eagles by 1

19%

Each team's goals

Explained

Excelsior expected goals1.51

Go Ahead Eagles expected goals1.58

Excelsior keep a clean sheet20%

Go Ahead Eagles keep a clean sheet22%

Excelsior win without conceding15%

Go Ahead Eagles win without conceding16%

Excelsior score 2 or more45%

Go Ahead Eagles score 2 or more47%

Recent form

Excelsior

L @ Fortuna Sittard0–1 · 25 Oct

L @ Heerenveen0–4 · 16 Oct

L v Groningen1–5 · 11 Oct

D @ Ajax2–2 · 19 Sep

L v Utrecht1–2 · 13 Sep

Go Ahead Eagles

W v Telstar3–2 · 23 Oct

L @ Zwolle1–4 · 18 Oct

D v Sparta Rotterdam3–3 · 10 Oct

D @ NEC Nijmegen1–1 · 20 Sep

D v Groningen1–1 · 12 Sep

Head to head

In 6 league meetings since 2022, Excelsior won 1, Go Ahead Eagles won 4 and 1 was drawn; the most recent, on 1 Mar 2026, finished Excelsior 0–1 Go Ahead Eagles, a win for Go Ahead Eagles.

Excelsior 0–1 Go Ahead Eagles1 Mar 2026

Go Ahead Eagles 2–0 Excelsior26 Oct 2025

Go Ahead Eagles 3–0 Excelsior30 Mar 2024

Excelsior 1–1 Go Ahead Eagles16 Dec 2023

Excelsior 2–1 Go Ahead Eagles14 Apr 2023

Go Ahead Eagles 3–1 Excelsior29 Oct 2022

Season averages per game

EXGA

1.60

Goals

2.30

1.90

Conceded

2.30

1.27

1.86

1.55

xG against

1.66

10.6

Shots

15.7

3.8

On target

6.3

3.8

Corners

6.1

1.30

Yellow cards

0.80

20%

Clean sheets

60%

Both score

100%

90%

3+ goals

80%

Questions and answers

Who will win Excelsior vs Go Ahead Eagles?

GossipBall gives Excelsior a 35% chance of winning, the draw 27% and Go Ahead Eagles 38%. GossipBall sees Excelsior against Go Ahead Eagles as too close to call.

What is the most likely score in Excelsior vs Go Ahead Eagles?

The likeliest single score is 1–1, with a 12% chance. The next most likely are 1–2 (9%), 2–1 (8%), 2–2 (6%).

Will both teams score in Excelsior vs Go Ahead Eagles?

GossipBall gives a 63% chance that both Excelsior and Go Ahead Eagles score.

Will there be three or more goals in Excelsior vs Go Ahead Eagles?

There is a 60% chance of three or more goals. GossipBall expects 3.1 goals in total (1.5 for Excelsior, 1.6 for Go Ahead Eagles).

When is Excelsior vs Go Ahead Eagles?

Kick-off is Saturday 7 November 2026 at 20:00 UTC.

What is the head-to-head record between Excelsior and Go Ahead Eagles?

In 6 league meetings since 2022, Excelsior won 1, Go Ahead Eagles won 4 and 1 was drawn; the most recent, on 1 Mar 2026, finished Excelsior 0–1 Go Ahead Eagles, a win for Go Ahead Eagles.