EredivisieSunday 11 October 2026 · 14:45

Excelsior vs Groningen result and stats

Excelsior

40%

pre-match home win

1–5

full time

28%

draw

Groningen

32%

pre-match away win

Win probability: home 40%, draw 28%, away 32%

Match report

GOSSIPBALL's parrot has been crunching the numbers

Groningen won 5–1 away at Excelsior in the Eredivisie on Sunday 11 October 2026. Before kick-off GossipBall gave Excelsior 40%, the draw 28% and Groningen 32%, so an away win had a 32% chance. It was an upset by GossipBall's numbers.

On expected goals it finished Excelsior 1.77, Groningen 2.75, so Groningen created the better chances. Excelsior had 16 shots (2 on target) to Groningen's 14 (9 on target).

GOSSIPBALL analysis · based on five seasons of results and expected goals · updated 29 October 2026, 20:50 UTC

Match stats

EXGR

1.77

Expected goals

2.75

Shots

On target

Corners

Fouls

Yellow cards

Red cards

Half-time goals

Recent form

Excelsior

D @ Ajax2–2 · 19 Sep

L v Utrecht1–2 · 13 Sep

D @ NEC Nijmegen2–2 · 8 Sep

W @ Willem II3–0 · 5 Sep

W v Sparta Rotterdam2–1 · 29 Aug

Groningen

W v Zwolle3–0 · 18 Sep

D @ Go Ahead Eagles1–1 · 12 Sep

D v Twente2–2 · 6 Sep

L v Fortuna Sittard2–3 · 28 Aug

L @ PSV Eindhoven1–5 · 23 Aug

Head to head

In 4 league meetings since 2023, Excelsior won 2, Groningen won 2 and 0 were drawn; the most recent, on 2 May 2026, finished Groningen 2–3 Excelsior, a win for Excelsior.

Groningen 2–3 Excelsior2 May 2026

Excelsior 0–2 Groningen5 Dec 2025

Groningen 3–0 Excelsior25 Feb 2023

Excelsior 1–0 Groningen8 Jan 2023

Season averages per game

EXGR

1.60

Goals

2.40

1.90

Conceded

2.10

1.27

1.71

1.55

xG against

1.98

10.6

Shots

14.3

3.8

On target

5.5

3.8

Corners

4.6

1.30

Yellow cards

1.20

20%

Clean sheets

10%

60%

Both score

90%

3+ goals

90%