Groningen vs Sparta Rotterdam prediction
Match preview
GOSSIPBALL's parrot has been crunching the numbersGossipBall makes Groningen favourites to beat Sparta Rotterdam at home in the Eredivisie on Sunday 1 November 2026 at 15:45 UTC. It gives Groningen a 47% chance of winning, puts the draw at 27% and gives Sparta Rotterdam 26%.
GossipBall expects 1.7 goals from Groningen and 1.2 from Sparta Rotterdam, so the goals line is finely balanced: there is a 56% chance of three or more goals and a 59% chance that both teams score. The likeliest single score is 1–1 (13%). Groningen keep a clean sheet in 29% of outcomes, Sparta Rotterdam in 18%.
Groningen are 8th in the table with 15 points from 10 games; Sparta Rotterdam are 14th with 9. In their last five league games Groningen took 8 points (DWWLD) and Sparta Rotterdam took 4 (LLDWL). This season Groningen average 1.71 expected goals (xG) for and 1.98 against per game; Sparta Rotterdam average 1.90 for and 1.86 against.
In 8 league meetings since 2021, Groningen won 1, Sparta Rotterdam won 6 and 1 was drawn; the most recent, on 31 Jan 2026, finished Sparta Rotterdam 2–0 Groningen, a win for Sparta Rotterdam.
GOSSIPBALL analysis · based on five seasons of results and expected goals · updated 29 October 2026, 20:50 UTC
Scoreline chances
How to readGoals
ExplainedGOSSIPBALL expects 2.9 goals in total: 1.70 for Groningen and 1.22 for Sparta Rotterdam.
Winning margin
ExplainedEach team's goals
ExplainedRecent form
Head to head
In 8 league meetings since 2021, Groningen won 1, Sparta Rotterdam won 6 and 1 was drawn; the most recent, on 31 Jan 2026, finished Sparta Rotterdam 2–0 Groningen, a win for Sparta Rotterdam.
Season averages per game
Questions and answers
Who will win Groningen vs Sparta Rotterdam?
GossipBall gives Groningen a 47% chance of winning, the draw 27% and Sparta Rotterdam 26%. GossipBall makes Groningen favourites to beat Sparta Rotterdam at home.
What is the most likely score in Groningen vs Sparta Rotterdam?
The likeliest single score is 1–1, with a 13% chance. The next most likely are 2–1 (10%), 1–0 (8%), 2–0 (8%).
Will both teams score in Groningen vs Sparta Rotterdam?
GossipBall gives a 59% chance that both Groningen and Sparta Rotterdam score.
Will there be three or more goals in Groningen vs Sparta Rotterdam?
There is a 56% chance of three or more goals. GossipBall expects 2.9 goals in total (1.7 for Groningen, 1.2 for Sparta Rotterdam).
When is Groningen vs Sparta Rotterdam?
Kick-off is Sunday 1 November 2026 at 15:45 UTC.
What is the head-to-head record between Groningen and Sparta Rotterdam?
In 8 league meetings since 2021, Groningen won 1, Sparta Rotterdam won 6 and 1 was drawn; the most recent, on 31 Jan 2026, finished Sparta Rotterdam 2–0 Groningen, a win for Sparta Rotterdam.