NEC Nijmegen vs Excelsior result and stats
Win probability: home 62%, draw 21%, away 17%
Match report
GOSSIPBALL's parrot has been crunching the numbersNEC Nijmegen and Excelsior drew 2–2 in the Eredivisie on Tuesday 8 September 2026. Before kick-off GossipBall gave NEC Nijmegen 62%, the draw 21% and Excelsior 17%, so a draw had a 21% chance. It was an upset by GossipBall's numbers.
On expected goals it finished NEC Nijmegen 1.36, Excelsior 1.81, so Excelsior created the better chances. NEC Nijmegen had 11 shots (3 on target) to Excelsior's 14 (5 on target).
GOSSIPBALL analysis · based on five seasons of results and expected goals · updated 29 October 2026, 20:50 UTC
Match stats
NNEX
1.36Expected goals1.81
11Shots14
3On target5
2Corners4
5Fouls16
1Yellow cards3
0Red cards0
1Half-time goals1
Recent form
NEC Nijmegen
L v Feyenoord1–3 · 5 Sep
W @ Zwolle3–1 · 29 Aug
W @ Willem II4–1 · 15 Aug
L v Telstar1–2 · 8 Aug
W v Go Ahead Eagles2–1 · 17 May
Excelsior
W @ Willem II3–0 · 5 Sep
W v Sparta Rotterdam2–1 · 29 Aug
L v PSV Eindhoven1–2 · 15 Aug
W @ Cambuur4–0 · 7 Aug
W @ Sparta Rotterdam3–2 · 17 May
Head to head
In 6 league meetings since 2022, NEC Nijmegen won 4, Excelsior won 1 and 1 was drawn; the most recent, on 4 Apr 2026, finished Excelsior 0–2 NEC Nijmegen, a win for NEC Nijmegen.
Excelsior 0–2 NEC Nijmegen4 Apr 2026
NEC Nijmegen 5–0 Excelsior9 Aug 2025
Excelsior 0–3 NEC Nijmegen6 May 2024
NEC Nijmegen 3–4 Excelsior13 Aug 2023
Excelsior 0–3 NEC Nijmegen19 Feb 2023
NEC Nijmegen 1–1 Excelsior8 Oct 2022
Season averages per game
NNEX
1.70Goals1.60
1.80Conceded1.90
1.70xG1.27
1.77xG against1.55
15.9Shots10.6
4.7On target3.8
6.3Corners3.8
1.30Yellow cards1.30
0%Clean sheets20%
90%Both score60%
80%3+ goals90%