NEC Nijmegen vs Groningen result and stats
Win probability: home 53%, draw 24%, away 23%
Match report
GOSSIPBALL's parrot has been crunching the numbersNEC Nijmegen and Groningen drew 2–2 in the Eredivisie on Sunday 25 October 2026. Before kick-off GossipBall gave NEC Nijmegen 53%, the draw 24% and Groningen 23%, so a draw had a 24% chance. It was an upset by GossipBall's numbers.
On expected goals it finished NEC Nijmegen 1.49, Groningen 1.33, so NEC Nijmegen created the better chances. NEC Nijmegen had 21 shots (9 on target) to Groningen's 9 (3 on target).
GOSSIPBALL analysis · based on five seasons of results and expected goals · updated 29 October 2026, 20:50 UTC
Match stats
NNGR
1.49Expected goals1.33
21Shots9
9On target3
11Corners2
9Fouls13
0Yellow cards3
0Red cards0
0Half-time goals2
Recent form
NEC Nijmegen
D v Fortuna Sittard2–2 · 18 Oct
D @ Ajax1–1 · 10 Oct
D v Go Ahead Eagles1–1 · 20 Sep
L @ Cambuur0–3 · 12 Sep
D v Excelsior2–2 · 8 Sep
Groningen
L v Ajax2–5 · 18 Oct
W @ Excelsior5–1 · 11 Oct
W v Zwolle3–0 · 18 Sep
D @ Go Ahead Eagles1–1 · 12 Sep
D v Twente2–2 · 6 Sep
Head to head
In 8 league meetings since 2021, NEC Nijmegen won 4, Groningen won 3 and 1 was drawn; the most recent, on 10 May 2026, finished Groningen 2–1 NEC Nijmegen, a win for Groningen.
Groningen 2–1 NEC Nijmegen10 May 2026
NEC Nijmegen 2–0 Groningen9 Nov 2025
Groningen 2–1 NEC Nijmegen8 Feb 2025
NEC Nijmegen 6–0 Groningen3 Nov 2024
Groningen 0–1 NEC Nijmegen25 Apr 2023
NEC Nijmegen 1–1 Groningen26 Aug 2022
Season averages per game
NNGR
1.70Goals2.40
1.80Conceded2.10
1.70xG1.71
1.77xG against1.98
15.9Shots14.3
4.7On target5.5
6.3Corners4.6
1.30Yellow cards1.20
0%Clean sheets10%
90%Both score90%
80%3+ goals90%