Utrecht vs Willem II result and stats
Win probability: home 69%, draw 20%, away 11%
Match report
GOSSIPBALL's parrot has been crunching the numbersUtrecht beat Willem II 3–1 at home in the Eredivisie on Sunday 11 October 2026. Before kick-off GossipBall gave Utrecht 69%, the draw 20% and Willem II 11%, so a home win had a 69% chance. GossipBall's favourite result came in.
On expected goals it finished Utrecht 1.23, Willem II 0.61, so Utrecht created the better chances. Utrecht had 24 shots (6 on target) to Willem II's 9 (2 on target).
GOSSIPBALL analysis · based on five seasons of results and expected goals · updated 29 October 2026, 20:50 UTC
Match stats
UTWI
1.23Expected goals0.61
24Shots9
6On target2
7Corners3
15Fouls13
2Yellow cards0
0Red cards0
0Half-time goals0
Recent form
Utrecht
L @ Feyenoord0–5 · 20 Sep
W @ Excelsior2–1 · 13 Sep
D v Go Ahead Eagles3–3 · 8 Sep
L v PSV Eindhoven1–6 · 30 Aug
D @ Sparta Rotterdam3–3 · 22 Aug
Willem II
L v Fortuna Sittard0–1 · 19 Sep
L @ Ajax1–5 · 15 Sep
D @ AZ Alkmaar1–1 · 11 Sep
L v Excelsior0–3 · 5 Sep
D v Heerenveen2–2 · 30 Aug
Head to head
In 4 league meetings since 2021, Utrecht won 3, Willem II won 1 and 0 were drawn; the most recent, on 9 Mar 2025, finished Willem II 2–3 Utrecht, a win for Utrecht.
Willem II 2–3 Utrecht9 Mar 2025
Utrecht 3–2 Willem II21 Sep 2024
Willem II 3–0 Utrecht15 May 2022
Utrecht 5–1 Willem II31 Oct 2021
Season averages per game
UTWI
1.70Goals1.00
2.70Conceded3.20
1.40xG1.18
1.78xG against2.25
13.8Shots11.6
4.4On target2.7
4.1Corners4.8
2.10Yellow cards1.40
0%Clean sheets0%
90%Both score80%
90%3+ goals80%