Utrecht vs Zwolle result and stats
Win probability: home 62%, draw 22%, away 16%
Match report
GOSSIPBALL's parrot has been crunching the numbersUtrecht and Zwolle drew 1–1 in the Eredivisie on Saturday 24 October 2026. Before kick-off GossipBall gave Utrecht 62%, the draw 22% and Zwolle 16%, so a draw had a 22% chance. It was an upset by GossipBall's numbers.
On expected goals it finished Utrecht 1.63, Zwolle 0.91, so Utrecht created the better chances. Utrecht had 23 shots (5 on target) to Zwolle's 9 (5 on target).
GOSSIPBALL analysis · based on five seasons of results and expected goals · updated 29 October 2026, 20:50 UTC
Match stats
UTZW
1.63Expected goals0.91
23Shots9
5On target5
7Corners2
11Fouls8
2Yellow cards2
0Red cards0
0Half-time goals0
Recent form
Utrecht
W @ Twente2–1 · 18 Oct
W v Willem II3–1 · 11 Oct
L @ Feyenoord0–5 · 20 Sep
W @ Excelsior2–1 · 13 Sep
D v Go Ahead Eagles3–3 · 8 Sep
Zwolle
W v Go Ahead Eagles4–1 · 18 Oct
L v Cambuur0–1 · 11 Oct
L @ Groningen0–3 · 18 Sep
L v Feyenoord0–7 · 13 Sep
D @ Sparta Rotterdam2–2 · 4 Sep
Head to head
In 8 league meetings since 2021, Utrecht won 4, Zwolle won 1 and 3 were drawn; the most recent, on 22 Feb 2026, was a 1–1 draw.
Utrecht 1–1 Zwolle22 Feb 2026
Zwolle 0–2 Utrecht31 Aug 2025
Zwolle 3–3 Utrecht1 Feb 2025
Utrecht 1–0 Zwolle11 Aug 2024
Utrecht 5–1 Zwolle3 Apr 2024
Zwolle 1–0 Utrecht27 Aug 2023
Season averages per game
UTZW
1.70Goals1.10
2.70Conceded2.30
1.40xG1.02
1.78xG against1.86
13.8Shots11.7
4.4On target4.4
4.1Corners4.1
2.10Yellow cards1.40
0%Clean sheets10%
90%Both score50%
90%3+ goals60%