Willem II vs NEC Nijmegen result and stats
Win probability: home 21%, draw 25%, away 55%
Match report
GOSSIPBALL's parrot has been crunching the numbersNEC Nijmegen won 4–1 away at Willem II in the Eredivisie on Saturday 15 August 2026. Before kick-off GossipBall gave Willem II 21%, the draw 25% and NEC Nijmegen 55%, so an away win had a 55% chance. GossipBall's favourite result came in.
On expected goals it finished Willem II 1.43, NEC Nijmegen 2.99, so NEC Nijmegen created the better chances. Willem II had 9 shots (2 on target) to NEC Nijmegen's 21 (10 on target).
GOSSIPBALL analysis · based on five seasons of results and expected goals · updated 29 October 2026, 20:50 UTC
Match stats
WINN
1.43Expected goals2.99
9Shots21
2On target10
1Corners2
10Fouls14
1Yellow cards0
0Red cards0
0Half-time goals1
Recent form
Willem II
L @ Go Ahead Eagles1–4 · 8 Aug
D @ NAC Breda1–1 · 18 May
L v Zwolle1–2 · 14 May
L v Heracles1–2 · 9 May
D @ NEC Nijmegen1–1 · 3 May
NEC Nijmegen
L v Telstar1–2 · 8 Aug
W v Go Ahead Eagles2–1 · 17 May
L @ Groningen1–2 · 10 May
D v Telstar1–1 · 2 May
D @ Twente1–1 · 25 Apr
Head to head
In 4 league meetings since 2021, Willem II won 1, NEC Nijmegen won 1 and 2 were drawn; the most recent, on 3 May 2025, was a 1–1 draw.
NEC Nijmegen 1–1 Willem II3 May 2025
Willem II 4–1 NEC Nijmegen22 Dec 2024
Willem II 0–1 NEC Nijmegen22 Dec 2021
NEC Nijmegen 0–0 Willem II12 Sep 2021
Season averages per game
WINN
1.00Goals1.70
3.20Conceded1.80
1.18xG1.70
2.25xG against1.77
11.6Shots15.9
2.7On target4.7
4.8Corners6.3
1.40Yellow cards1.30
0%Clean sheets0%
80%Both score90%
80%3+ goals80%