EredivisieMatchday 11Sunday 1 November 2026 · 11:15

Zwolle vs Den Haag prediction

Zwolle

42%

home win

likeliest score

1–1

12.4% chance

27%

draw

Den Haag

31%

away win

Win probability: home 42%, draw 27%, away 31%

Match preview

GOSSIPBALL's parrot has been crunching the numbers

GossipBall makes Zwolle slight favourites to beat Den Haag at home in the Eredivisie on Sunday 1 November 2026 at 11:15 UTC. It gives Zwolle a 42% chance of winning, puts the draw at 27% and gives Den Haag 31%.

GossipBall expects 1.6 goals from Zwolle and 1.4 from Den Haag, so goals look likely: there is a 58% chance of three or more goals and a 62% chance that both teams score. The likeliest single score is 1–1 (12%). Zwolle keep a clean sheet in 25% of outcomes, Den Haag in 20%.

Zwolle are 15th in the table with 8 points from 10 games; Den Haag are 17th with 6. In their last five league games Zwolle took 4 points (LLLWD) and Den Haag took 5 (LDDWL). This season Zwolle average 1.02 expected goals (xG) for and 1.86 against per game; Den Haag average 1.17 for and 1.94 against.

GOSSIPBALL analysis · based on five seasons of results and expected goals · updated 29 October 2026, 20:50 UTC

Scoreline chances

How to read

Rows: Zwolle goalsColumns: Den Haag goals

1–112.4%

2–19.0%

1–27.7%

1–06.6%

2–06.5%

2–26.3%

Goals

Explained

1 or more goals

94%

2 or more goals

82%

3 or more goals

58%

4 or more goals

36%

5 or more goals

19%

Both teams score

62%

GOSSIPBALL expects 3.0 goals in total: 1.63 for Zwolle and 1.39 for Den Haag.

Winning margin

Explained

Zwolle by 3

Zwolle by 2

13%

Zwolle by 1

20%

Draw

27%

Den Haag by 3

Den Haag by 2

Den Haag by 1

17%

Each team's goals

Explained

Zwolle expected goals1.63

Den Haag expected goals1.39

Zwolle keep a clean sheet25%

Den Haag keep a clean sheet20%

Zwolle win without conceding19%

Den Haag win without conceding13%

Zwolle score 2 or more49%

Den Haag score 2 or more40%

Recent form

Zwolle

D @ Utrecht1–1 · 24 Oct

W v Go Ahead Eagles4–1 · 18 Oct

L v Cambuur0–1 · 11 Oct

L @ Groningen0–3 · 18 Sep

L v Feyenoord0–7 · 13 Sep

Den Haag

L v Heerenveen2–3 · 24 Oct

W v PSV Eindhoven2–1 · 17 Oct

D @ Telstar2–2 · 11 Oct

D v Cambuur1–1 · 19 Sep

L @ Twente0–2 · 12 Sep

Head to head

These teams haven't met in this league in the last five seasons.

Season averages per game

ZWDH

1.10

Goals

1.30

2.30

Conceded

2.30

1.02

1.17

1.86

xG against

1.94

11.7

Shots

12.5

4.4

On target

3.8

4.1

Corners

3.9

1.40

Yellow cards

1.70

10%

Clean sheets

50%

Both score

80%

60%

3+ goals

70%

Questions and answers

Who will win Zwolle vs Den Haag?

GossipBall gives Zwolle a 42% chance of winning, the draw 27% and Den Haag 31%. GossipBall makes Zwolle slight favourites to beat Den Haag at home.

What is the most likely score in Zwolle vs Den Haag?

The likeliest single score is 1–1, with a 12% chance. The next most likely are 2–1 (9%), 1–2 (8%), 1–0 (7%).

Will both teams score in Zwolle vs Den Haag?

GossipBall gives a 62% chance that both Zwolle and Den Haag score.

Will there be three or more goals in Zwolle vs Den Haag?

There is a 58% chance of three or more goals. GossipBall expects 3.0 goals in total (1.6 for Zwolle, 1.4 for Den Haag).

When is Zwolle vs Den Haag?

Kick-off is Sunday 1 November 2026 at 11:15 UTC.