Zwolle vs NEC Nijmegen result and stats
Win probability: home 25%, draw 24%, away 51%
Match report
GOSSIPBALL's parrot has been crunching the numbersNEC Nijmegen won 3–1 away at Zwolle in the Eredivisie on Saturday 29 August 2026. Before kick-off GossipBall gave Zwolle 25%, the draw 24% and NEC Nijmegen 51%, so an away win had a 51% chance. GossipBall's favourite result came in.
On expected goals it finished Zwolle 1.98, NEC Nijmegen 1.97, so Zwolle created the better chances. Zwolle had 9 shots (2 on target) to NEC Nijmegen's 8 (4 on target).
GOSSIPBALL analysis · based on five seasons of results and expected goals · updated 29 October 2026, 20:50 UTC
Match stats
ZWNN
1.98Expected goals1.97
9Shots8
2On target4
6Corners7
17Fouls12
1Yellow cards3
0Red cards0
1Half-time goals2
Recent form
Zwolle
W @ Heerenveen2–0 · 22 Aug
L @ Twente1–3 · 16 Aug
L v Ajax0–2 · 9 Aug
L v Feyenoord0–2 · 17 May
L @ Fortuna Sittard2–3 · 10 May
NEC Nijmegen
W @ Willem II4–1 · 15 Aug
L v Telstar1–2 · 8 Aug
W v Go Ahead Eagles2–1 · 17 May
L @ Groningen1–2 · 10 May
D v Telstar1–1 · 2 May
Head to head
In 8 league meetings since 2021, Zwolle won 0, NEC Nijmegen won 5 and 3 were drawn; the most recent, on 24 Jan 2026, finished NEC Nijmegen 2–1 Zwolle, a win for NEC Nijmegen.
NEC Nijmegen 2–1 Zwolle24 Jan 2026
Zwolle 2–2 NEC Nijmegen25 Oct 2025
Zwolle 0–1 NEC Nijmegen11 Jan 2025
NEC Nijmegen 1–0 Zwolle24 Aug 2024
NEC Nijmegen 2–2 Zwolle14 Apr 2024
Zwolle 1–3 NEC Nijmegen9 Dec 2023
Season averages per game
ZWNN
1.10Goals1.70
2.30Conceded1.80
1.02xG1.70
1.86xG against1.77
11.7Shots15.9
4.4On target4.7
4.1Corners6.3
1.40Yellow cards1.30
10%Clean sheets0%
50%Both score90%
60%3+ goals80%