Brest vs Nice result and stats
Win probability: home 45%, draw 26%, away 29%
Match report
GOSSIPBALL's parrot has been crunching the numbersNice won 2–1 away at Brest in the Ligue 1 on Friday 23 October 2026. Before kick-off GossipBall gave Brest 45%, the draw 26% and Nice 29%, so an away win had a 29% chance. It was an upset by GossipBall's numbers.
On expected goals it finished Brest 2.46, Nice 0.47, so Brest created the better chances. Brest had 13 shots (7 on target) to Nice's 9 (2 on target).
GOSSIPBALL analysis · based on five seasons of results and expected goals · updated 29 October 2026, 20:50 UTC
Match stats
BRNI
2.46Expected goals0.47
13Shots9
7On target2
3Corners7
14Fouls15
3Yellow cards5
0Red cards0
1Half-time goals0
Recent form
Brest
D @ Lille1–1 · 17 Oct
W v Angers5–1 · 10 Oct
L @ Auxerre1–2 · 20 Sep
L v Paris Saint-Germain0–1 · 13 Sep
W @ Le Havre2–1 · 5 Sep
Nice
L @ Lyon1–2 · 18 Oct
W v Strasbourg2–1 · 11 Oct
W v Lille2–1 · 20 Sep
L @ Auxerre0–1 · 12 Sep
D v Le Mans1–1 · 5 Sep
Head to head
In 10 league meetings since 2021, Brest won 2, Nice won 5 and 3 were drawn; the most recent, on 1 Feb 2026, was a 2–2 draw.
Nice 2–2 Brest1 Feb 2026
Brest 4–1 Nice20 Sep 2025
Nice 6–0 Brest17 May 2025
Brest 0–1 Nice2 Nov 2024
Brest 0–0 Nice4 Feb 2024
Nice 0–0 Brest1 Oct 2023
Season averages per game
BRNI
1.75Goals1.00
1.50Conceded1.25
2.06xG1.09
1.24xG against1.70
16.9Shots11.4
5.9On target3.5
4.6Corners5.9
1.50Yellow cards2.25
0%Clean sheets12%
88%Both score62%
75%3+ goals62%