Nice vs Strasbourg result and stats
Win probability: home 36%, draw 26%, away 38%
Match report
GOSSIPBALL's parrot has been crunching the numbersNice beat Strasbourg 2–1 at home in the Ligue 1 on Sunday 11 October 2026. Before kick-off GossipBall gave Nice 36%, the draw 26% and Strasbourg 38%, so a home win had a 36% chance. It was an upset by GossipBall's numbers.
On expected goals it finished Nice 1.25, Strasbourg 0.63, so Nice created the better chances. Nice had 11 shots (6 on target) to Strasbourg's 11 (3 on target).
GOSSIPBALL analysis · based on five seasons of results and expected goals · updated 29 October 2026, 20:50 UTC
Match stats
NIST
1.25Expected goals0.63
11Shots11
6On target3
2Corners3
3Fouls8
1Yellow cards1
0Red cards0
1Half-time goals1
Recent form
Nice
W v Lille2–1 · 20 Sep
L @ Auxerre0–1 · 12 Sep
D v Le Mans1–1 · 5 Sep
L @ Paris FC0–3 · 30 Aug
D v Lorient0–0 · 22 Aug
Strasbourg
L @ Paris FC1–2 · 19 Sep
D v Monaco1–1 · 12 Sep
W @ Troyes6–2 · 6 Sep
W v Lens2–1 · 29 Aug
L @ Marseille0–4 · 21 Aug
Head to head
In 10 league meetings since 2021, Nice won 3, Strasbourg won 3 and 4 were drawn; the most recent, on 4 Apr 2026, finished Strasbourg 3–1 Nice, a win for Strasbourg.
Strasbourg 3–1 Nice4 Apr 2026
Nice 1–1 Strasbourg3 Jan 2026
Strasbourg 2–2 Nice12 Apr 2025
Nice 2–1 Strasbourg24 Nov 2024
Strasbourg 1–3 Nice28 Apr 2024
Nice 2–0 Strasbourg3 Sep 2023
Season averages per game
NIST
1.00Goals1.50
1.25Conceded2.25
1.09xG1.13
1.70xG against1.96
11.4Shots12.2
3.5On target4.9
5.9Corners2.4
2.25Yellow cards1.75
12%Clean sheets0%
62%Both score75%
62%3+ goals88%