GossipBall
Premier LeagueSunday 4 January 2026 ·

Leeds vs Manchester United result and stats

36%
test home win
1–1
full time
25%
draw
40%
test away win
Win probability: home 36%, draw 25%, away 40%

Match report

GossipBall's parrot has been crunching the numbers

Leeds and Manchester United drew 1–1 in the Premier League on Sunday 4 January 2026. This match was played before GossipBall launched. In a retrospective test using only results available before kick-off, GossipBall's ratings gave Leeds 36%, the draw 25% and Manchester United 40%, so a draw had a 25% chance. It would have been an upset.

GossipBall analysis · based on five seasons of results and expected goals · updated 30 October 2026, 05:56 UTC

Match stats

LEMU
11
Shots
15
3
On target
2
6
Corners
4
9
Fouls
9
0
Yellow cards
1
0
Red cards
0
0
Half-time goals
0

Referee: J Gillett

Recent form

Leeds
D @ Liverpool0–0 · 1 Jan
D @ Sunderland1–1 · 28 Dec
W v Crystal Palace4–1 · 20 Dec
D @ Brentford1–1 · 14 Dec
D v Liverpool3–3 · 6 Dec
Manchester United
D v Wolves1–1 · 30 Dec
W v Newcastle United1–0 · 26 Dec
L @ Aston Villa1–2 · 21 Dec
D v Bournemouth4–4 · 15 Dec
W @ Wolves4–1 · 8 Dec

Head to head

In 4 league meetings since 2021, Leeds won 0, Manchester United won 3 and 1 was drawn; the most recent, on 12 Feb 2023, finished Leeds 0–2 Manchester United, a win for Manchester United.

Leeds 0–2 Manchester United12 Feb 2023
Manchester United 2–2 Leeds8 Feb 2023
Leeds 2–4 Manchester United20 Feb 2022
Manchester United 5–1 Leeds14 Aug 2021

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Not affiliated with any league, club or governing body; names are used for identification only and no club or league logos are shown. Data: football-data.co.uk, football-data.org and openfootball. Photos: Sebastian Schuster, Victor, Lukáš Parničan and nika tchokhonelidze on Unsplash.

Updated 30 October 2026, 05:56 UTC · About · Legal & privacy · Guide · Previous predictions · Track record · [email protected]