Aberdeen vs Hearts result and stats
Win probability: home 25%, draw 27%, away 47%
Match report
GOSSIPBALL's parrot has been crunching the numbersAberdeen beat Hearts 2–1 at home in the Scottish Premiership on Saturday 1 August 2026. Before kick-off GossipBall gave Aberdeen 25%, the draw 27% and Hearts 47%, so a home win had a 25% chance. It was an upset by GossipBall's numbers.
On expected goals it finished Aberdeen 2.66, Hearts 1.83, so Aberdeen created the better chances. Aberdeen had 11 shots (3 on target) to Hearts's 21 (4 on target).
GOSSIPBALL analysis · based on five seasons of results and expected goals · updated 29 October 2026, 20:50 UTC
Match stats
ABHE
2.66Expected goals1.83
11Shots21
3On target4
4Corners6
11Fouls17
3Yellow cards2
0Red cards1
0Half-time goals1
Referee: D Dickinson
Recent form
Aberdeen
L @ Dundee2–3 · 17 May
L v St Mirren0–2 · 12 May
W v Dundee United2–0 · 9 May
D @ Livingston2–2 · 1 May
W v Kilmarnock1–0 · 25 Apr
Hearts
L @ Celtic1–3 · 16 May
W v Falkirk3–0 · 13 May
D @ Motherwell1–1 · 9 May
W v Rangers2–1 · 4 May
W @ Hibernian2–1 · 26 Apr
Head to head
In 16 league meetings since 2021, Aberdeen won 6, Hearts won 7 and 3 were drawn; the most recent, on 28 Feb 2026, finished Hearts 1–0 Aberdeen, a win for Hearts.
Hearts 1–0 Aberdeen28 Feb 2026
Aberdeen 1–0 Hearts23 Nov 2025
Hearts 2–0 Aberdeen4 Aug 2025
Aberdeen 0–0 Hearts12 Jan 2025
Hearts 1–1 Aberdeen1 Dec 2024
Aberdeen 3–2 Hearts6 Oct 2024
Season averages per game
ABHE
1.09Goals2.18
1.27Conceded1.55
1.25xG1.75
1.47xG against1.56
13.0Shots16.6
3.5On target5.4
5.8Corners6.5
2.55Yellow cards1.82
18%Clean sheets27%
36%Both score73%
46%3+ goals82%