Aberdeen vs St Mirren result and stats
Win probability: home 45%, draw 29%, away 27%
Match report
GOSSIPBALL's parrot has been crunching the numbersAberdeen beat St Mirren 3–1 at home in the Scottish Premiership on Saturday 17 October 2026. Before kick-off GossipBall gave Aberdeen 45%, the draw 29% and St Mirren 27%, so a home win had a 45% chance. GossipBall's favourite result came in.
On expected goals it finished Aberdeen 2.29, St Mirren 1.00, so Aberdeen created the better chances. Aberdeen had 17 shots (7 on target) to St Mirren's 13 (7 on target).
GOSSIPBALL analysis · based on five seasons of results and expected goals · updated 29 October 2026, 20:50 UTC
Match stats
ABSM
2.29Expected goals1.00
17Shots13
7On target7
2Corners6
18Fouls16
1Yellow cards2
0Red cards0
1Half-time goals1
Referee: J Beaton
Recent form
Aberdeen
L v St Johnstone0–1 · 11 Oct
D @ Hibernian1–1 · 19 Sep
W @ Motherwell4–0 · 15 Sep
D v Kilmarnock0–0 · 5 Sep
L @ Celtic0–3 · 2 Sep
St Mirren
L @ Hearts0–5 · 10 Oct
L v Dundee United0–3 · 19 Sep
L @ Rangers0–1 · 9 Sep
L v Celtic1–2 · 5 Sep
W @ Kilmarnock1–0 · 2 Sep
Head to head
In 19 league meetings since 2021, Aberdeen won 5, St Mirren won 11 and 3 were drawn; the most recent, on 12 May 2026, finished Aberdeen 0–2 St Mirren, a win for St Mirren.
Aberdeen 0–2 St Mirren12 May 2026
St Mirren 2–0 Aberdeen4 Apr 2026
Aberdeen 3–3 St Mirren3 Dec 2025
St Mirren 0–1 Aberdeen18 Oct 2025
St Mirren 1–0 Aberdeen3 May 2025
Aberdeen 0–3 St Mirren25 Jan 2025
Season averages per game
ABSM
1.09Goals1.09
1.27Conceded1.73
1.25xG1.35
1.47xG against1.77
13.0Shots12.8
3.5On target3.9
5.8Corners4.1
2.55Yellow cards2.82
18%Clean sheets27%
36%Both score46%
46%3+ goals55%