Celtic vs Hearts result and stats
Win probability: home 60%, draw 22%, away 18%
Match report
GOSSIPBALL's parrot has been crunching the numbersCeltic beat Hearts 7–1 at home in the Scottish Premiership on Sunday 18 October 2026. Before kick-off GossipBall gave Celtic 60%, the draw 22% and Hearts 18%, so a home win had a 60% chance. GossipBall's favourite result came in.
On expected goals it finished Celtic 4.21, Hearts 1.20, so Celtic created the better chances. Celtic had 18 shots (10 on target) to Hearts's 20 (5 on target).
GOSSIPBALL analysis · based on five seasons of results and expected goals · updated 29 October 2026, 20:50 UTC
Match stats
CEHE
4.21Expected goals1.20
18Shots20
10On target5
6Corners3
17Fouls8
3Yellow cards1
0Red cards0
5Half-time goals1
Referee: D Dickinson
Recent form
Celtic
W @ Motherwell2–0 · 11 Oct
L v Rangers0–1 · 20 Sep
W @ St Johnstone1–0 · 9 Sep
W @ St Mirren2–1 · 5 Sep
W v Aberdeen3–0 · 2 Sep
Hearts
W v St Mirren5–0 · 10 Oct
D @ Kilmarnock1–1 · 19 Sep
L @ Falkirk1–2 · 15 Sep
W v Dundee2–1 · 6 Sep
W @ Hibernian3–1 · 3 Sep
Head to head
In 19 league meetings since 2021, Celtic won 13, Hearts won 5 and 1 was drawn; the most recent, on 16 May 2026, finished Celtic 3–1 Hearts, a win for Celtic.
Celtic 3–1 Hearts16 May 2026
Hearts 2–2 Celtic25 Jan 2026
Celtic 1–2 Hearts7 Dec 2025
Hearts 3–1 Celtic26 Oct 2025
Celtic 3–0 Hearts29 Mar 2025
Hearts 1–4 Celtic23 Nov 2024
Season averages per game
CEHE
2.45Goals2.18
0.73Conceded1.55
2.69xG1.75
0.95xG against1.56
20.6Shots16.6
8.6On target5.4
9.1Corners6.5
1.64Yellow cards1.82
36%Clean sheets27%
55%Both score73%
64%3+ goals82%