Celtic vs Rangers result and stats
Win probability: home 56%, draw 21%, away 22%

Match report
GOSSIPBALL's parrot has been crunching the numbersRangers won 1–0 away at Celtic in the Scottish Premiership on Sunday 20 September 2026. Before kick-off GossipBall gave Celtic 56%, the draw 21% and Rangers 22%, so an away win had a 22% chance. It was an upset by GossipBall's numbers.
On expected goals it finished Celtic 0.71, Rangers 1.23, so Rangers created the better chances. Celtic had 5 shots (1 on target) to Rangers's 15 (8 on target).
GOSSIPBALL analysis · based on five seasons of results and expected goals · updated 29 October 2026, 20:50 UTC
Match stats
CERA
0.71Expected goals1.23
5Shots15
1On target8
8Corners4
16Fouls19
2Yellow cards3
0Red cards0
0Half-time goals1
Referee: J Beaton
Recent form
Celtic
W @ St Johnstone1–0 · 9 Sep
W @ St Mirren2–1 · 5 Sep
W v Aberdeen3–0 · 2 Sep
W v Falkirk2–1 · 29 Aug
W @ Kilmarnock5–1 · 9 Aug
Rangers
W v St Mirren1–0 · 9 Sep
W v Motherwell1–0 · 5 Sep
W @ Falkirk2–1 · 2 Sep
W @ Aberdeen1–0 · 30 Aug
L v Hibernian1–2 · 9 Aug
Head to head
In 20 league meetings since 2021, Celtic won 9, Rangers won 5 and 6 were drawn; the most recent, on 10 May 2026, finished Celtic 3–1 Rangers, a win for Celtic.
Celtic 3–1 Rangers10 May 2026
Rangers 2–2 Celtic1 Mar 2026
Celtic 1–3 Rangers3 Jan 2026
Rangers 0–0 Celtic31 Aug 2025
Rangers 1–1 Celtic4 May 2025
Celtic 2–3 Rangers16 Mar 2025
Season averages per game
CERA
2.45Goals1.73
0.73Conceded0.82
2.69xG2.20
0.95xG against1.11
20.6Shots19.4
8.6On target6.8
9.1Corners7.4
1.64Yellow cards1.82
36%Clean sheets46%
55%Both score55%
64%3+ goals55%