Falkirk vs Hearts result and stats
Win probability: home 27%, draw 26%, away 47%
Match report
GOSSIPBALL's parrot has been crunching the numbersFalkirk beat Hearts 2–1 at home in the Scottish Premiership on Tuesday 15 September 2026. Before kick-off GossipBall gave Falkirk 27%, the draw 26% and Hearts 47%, so a home win had a 27% chance. It was an upset by GossipBall's numbers.
On expected goals it finished Falkirk 2.04, Hearts 1.73, so Falkirk created the better chances. Falkirk had 13 shots (4 on target) to Hearts's 9 (4 on target).
GOSSIPBALL analysis · based on five seasons of results and expected goals · updated 29 October 2026, 20:50 UTC
Match stats
FAHE
2.04Expected goals1.73
13Shots9
4On target4
3Corners4
15Fouls13
4Yellow cards3
0Red cards0
1Half-time goals1
Referee: J Beaton
Recent form
Falkirk
D @ Dundee United1–1 · 5 Sep
L v Rangers1–2 · 2 Sep
L @ Celtic1–2 · 29 Aug
D @ Motherwell0–0 · 9 Aug
L v St Mirren0–2 · 1 Aug
Hearts
W v Dundee2–1 · 6 Sep
W @ Hibernian3–1 · 3 Sep
W v St Johnstone2–1 · 29 Aug
W v Dundee United4–0 · 9 Aug
L @ Aberdeen1–2 · 1 Aug
Head to head
In 4 league meetings since 2025, Falkirk won 0, Hearts won 4 and 0 were drawn; the most recent, on 13 May 2026, finished Hearts 3–0 Falkirk, a win for Hearts.
Hearts 3–0 Falkirk13 May 2026
Hearts 1–0 Falkirk21 Feb 2026
Falkirk 0–2 Hearts13 Dec 2025
Hearts 3–0 Falkirk27 Sep 2025
Season averages per game
FAHE
1.18Goals2.18
1.09Conceded1.55
1.10xG1.75
1.63xG against1.56
12.0Shots16.6
3.8On target5.4
4.7Corners6.5
1.91Yellow cards1.82
27%Clean sheets27%
64%Both score73%
55%3+ goals82%