Falkirk vs Kilmarnock result and stats
Win probability: home 51%, draw 24%, away 25%
Match report
GOSSIPBALL's parrot has been crunching the numbersFalkirk beat Kilmarnock 3–0 at home in the Scottish Premiership on Saturday 24 October 2026. Before kick-off GossipBall gave Falkirk 51%, the draw 24% and Kilmarnock 25%, so a home win had a 51% chance. GossipBall's favourite result came in.
On expected goals it finished Falkirk 2.00, Kilmarnock 1.82, so Falkirk created the better chances. Falkirk had 18 shots (8 on target) to Kilmarnock's 10 (0 on target).
GOSSIPBALL analysis · based on five seasons of results and expected goals · updated 29 October 2026, 20:50 UTC
Match stats
FAKI
2.00Expected goals1.82
18Shots10
8On target0
9Corners7
11Fouls12
0Yellow cards2
0Red cards0
2Half-time goals0
Referee: D Robertson
Recent form
Falkirk
W @ Hibernian2–1 · 17 Oct
L v Dundee1–2 · 10 Oct
D @ St Johnstone1–1 · 19 Sep
W v Hearts2–1 · 15 Sep
D @ Dundee United1–1 · 5 Sep
Kilmarnock
W v Motherwell3–2 · 17 Oct
L @ Rangers1–3 · 10 Oct
D v Hearts1–1 · 19 Sep
W @ Hibernian1–0 · 15 Sep
D @ Aberdeen0–0 · 5 Sep
Head to head
In 3 league meetings since 2025, Falkirk won 3, Kilmarnock won 0 and 0 were drawn; the most recent, on 28 Feb 2026, finished Falkirk 5–1 Kilmarnock, a win for Falkirk.
Falkirk 5–1 Kilmarnock28 Feb 2026
Kilmarnock 0–1 Falkirk20 Dec 2025
Falkirk 3–1 Kilmarnock1 Nov 2025
Season averages per game
FAKI
1.18Goals1.00
1.09Conceded2.36
1.10xG1.16
1.63xG against2.19
12.0Shots11.2
3.8On target3.8
4.7Corners4.9
1.91Yellow cards2.09
27%Clean sheets18%
64%Both score55%
55%3+ goals64%