Hearts vs St Mirren result and stats
Win probability: home 63%, draw 23%, away 14%
Match report
GOSSIPBALL's parrot has been crunching the numbersHearts beat St Mirren 5–0 at home in the Scottish Premiership on Saturday 10 October 2026. Before kick-off GossipBall gave Hearts 63%, the draw 23% and St Mirren 14%, so a home win had a 63% chance. GossipBall's favourite result came in.
On expected goals it finished Hearts 3.44, St Mirren 0.68, so Hearts created the better chances. Hearts had 18 shots (6 on target) to St Mirren's 8 (1 on target).
GOSSIPBALL analysis · based on five seasons of results and expected goals · updated 29 October 2026, 20:50 UTC
Match stats
HESM
3.44Expected goals0.68
18Shots8
6On target1
6Corners2
16Fouls18
2Yellow cards3
0Red cards0
2Half-time goals0
Referee: N Walsh
Recent form
Hearts
D @ Kilmarnock1–1 · 19 Sep
L @ Falkirk1–2 · 15 Sep
W v Dundee2–1 · 6 Sep
W @ Hibernian3–1 · 3 Sep
W v St Johnstone2–1 · 29 Aug
St Mirren
L v Dundee United0–3 · 19 Sep
L @ Rangers0–1 · 9 Sep
L v Celtic1–2 · 5 Sep
W @ Kilmarnock1–0 · 2 Sep
D v Motherwell3–3 · 30 Aug
Head to head
In 17 league meetings since 2021, Hearts won 9, St Mirren won 4 and 4 were drawn; the most recent, on 3 Feb 2026, finished St Mirren 1–0 Hearts, a win for St Mirren.
St Mirren 1–0 Hearts3 Feb 2026
Hearts 2–0 St Mirren14 Jan 2026
St Mirren 2–2 Hearts29 Oct 2025
Hearts 3–1 St Mirren26 Feb 2025
Hearts 4–0 St Mirren19 Oct 2024
St Mirren 2–1 Hearts21 Sep 2024
Season averages per game
HESM
2.18Goals1.09
1.55Conceded1.73
1.75xG1.35
1.56xG against1.77
16.6Shots12.8
5.4On target3.9
6.5Corners4.1
1.82Yellow cards2.82
27%Clean sheets27%
73%Both score46%
82%3+ goals55%