Hibernian vs Falkirk result and stats
Win probability: home 57%, draw 23%, away 20%
Match report
GOSSIPBALL's parrot has been crunching the numbersFalkirk won 2–1 away at Hibernian in the Scottish Premiership on Saturday 17 October 2026. Before kick-off GossipBall gave Hibernian 57%, the draw 23% and Falkirk 20%, so an away win had a 20% chance. It was an upset by GossipBall's numbers.
On expected goals it finished Hibernian 1.35, Falkirk 0.76, so Hibernian created the better chances. Hibernian had 17 shots (3 on target) to Falkirk's 10 (5 on target).
GOSSIPBALL analysis · based on five seasons of results and expected goals · updated 29 October 2026, 20:50 UTC
Match stats
HIFA
1.35Expected goals0.76
17Shots10
3On target5
6Corners3
5Fouls20
1Yellow cards3
0Red cards0
1Half-time goals2
Referee: N Walsh
Recent form
Hibernian
L @ Dundee United0–1 · 10 Oct
D v Aberdeen1–1 · 19 Sep
L v Kilmarnock0–1 · 15 Sep
L @ St Johnstone1–2 · 6 Sep
L v Hearts1–3 · 3 Sep
Falkirk
L v Dundee1–2 · 10 Oct
D @ St Johnstone1–1 · 19 Sep
W v Hearts2–1 · 15 Sep
D @ Dundee United1–1 · 5 Sep
L v Rangers1–2 · 2 Sep
Head to head
In 4 league meetings since 2025, Hibernian won 2, Falkirk won 1 and 1 was drawn; the most recent, on 9 May 2026, finished Falkirk 1–3 Hibernian, a win for Hibernian.
Falkirk 1–3 Hibernian9 May 2026
Falkirk 4–1 Hibernian24 Jan 2026
Hibernian 3–0 Falkirk6 Dec 2025
Falkirk 2–2 Hibernian23 Sep 2025
Season averages per game
HIFA
1.00Goals1.18
1.55Conceded1.09
1.54xG1.10
1.47xG against1.63
15.4Shots12.0
3.7On target3.8
6.3Corners4.7
1.36Yellow cards1.91
0%Clean sheets27%
82%Both score64%
64%3+ goals55%