Hibernian vs Hearts result and stats
Win probability: home 39%, draw 27%, away 34%
Match report
GOSSIPBALL's parrot has been crunching the numbersHearts won 3–1 away at Hibernian in the Scottish Premiership on Thursday 3 September 2026. Before kick-off GossipBall gave Hibernian 39%, the draw 27% and Hearts 34%, so an away win had a 34% chance. It was an upset by GossipBall's numbers.
On expected goals it finished Hibernian 1.69, Hearts 0.82, so Hibernian created the better chances. Hibernian had 17 shots (4 on target) to Hearts's 12 (5 on target).
GOSSIPBALL analysis · based on five seasons of results and expected goals · updated 29 October 2026, 20:50 UTC
Match stats
HIHE
1.69Expected goals0.82
17Shots12
4On target5
7Corners8
16Fouls9
3Yellow cards0
1Red cards0
0Half-time goals2
Referee: D Robertson
Recent form
Hibernian
W @ Dundee2–1 · 30 Aug
W @ Rangers2–1 · 9 Aug
L v Motherwell1–2 · 2 Aug
L v Motherwell0–1 · 16 May
W @ Rangers2–1 · 13 May
Hearts
W v St Johnstone2–1 · 29 Aug
W v Dundee United4–0 · 9 Aug
L @ Aberdeen1–2 · 1 Aug
L @ Celtic1–3 · 16 May
W v Falkirk3–0 · 13 May
Head to head
In 17 league meetings since 2021, Hibernian won 4, Hearts won 6 and 7 were drawn; the most recent, on 26 Apr 2026, finished Hibernian 1–2 Hearts, a win for Hearts.
Hibernian 1–2 Hearts26 Apr 2026
Hearts 1–0 Hibernian10 Feb 2026
Hibernian 3–2 Hearts27 Dec 2025
Hearts 1–0 Hibernian4 Oct 2025
Hibernian 2–1 Hearts2 Mar 2025
Hearts 1–2 Hibernian26 Dec 2024
Season averages per game
HIHE
1.00Goals2.18
1.55Conceded1.55
1.54xG1.75
1.47xG against1.56
15.4Shots16.6
3.7On target5.4
6.3Corners6.5
1.36Yellow cards1.82
0%Clean sheets27%
82%Both score73%
64%3+ goals82%