Hibernian vs Kilmarnock result and stats
Win probability: home 65%, draw 20%, away 15%
Match report
GOSSIPBALL's parrot has been crunching the numbersKilmarnock won 1–0 away at Hibernian in the Scottish Premiership on Tuesday 15 September 2026. Before kick-off GossipBall gave Hibernian 65%, the draw 20% and Kilmarnock 15%, so an away win had a 15% chance. It was an upset by GossipBall's numbers.
On expected goals it finished Hibernian 1.30, Kilmarnock 1.94, so Kilmarnock created the better chances. Hibernian had 23 shots (7 on target) to Kilmarnock's 12 (7 on target).
GOSSIPBALL analysis · based on five seasons of results and expected goals · updated 29 October 2026, 20:50 UTC
Match stats
HIKI
1.30Expected goals1.94
23Shots12
7On target7
15Corners7
8Fouls10
0Yellow cards3
0Red cards1
0Half-time goals1
Referee: R Lee
Recent form
Hibernian
L @ St Johnstone1–2 · 6 Sep
L v Hearts1–3 · 3 Sep
W @ Dundee2–1 · 30 Aug
W @ Rangers2–1 · 9 Aug
L v Motherwell1–2 · 2 Aug
Kilmarnock
D @ Aberdeen0–0 · 5 Sep
L v St Mirren0–1 · 2 Sep
L v Dundee United0–4 · 29 Aug
L v Celtic1–5 · 9 Aug
L @ St Johnstone3–4 · 2 Aug
Head to head
In 12 league meetings since 2022, Hibernian won 6, Kilmarnock won 1 and 5 were drawn; the most recent, on 4 Apr 2026, finished Hibernian 3–0 Kilmarnock, a win for Hibernian.
Hibernian 3–0 Kilmarnock4 Apr 2026
Kilmarnock 1–3 Hibernian3 Jan 2026
Hibernian 2–2 Kilmarnock10 Aug 2025
Kilmarnock 1–1 Hibernian15 Mar 2025
Hibernian 1–0 Kilmarnock29 Dec 2024
Kilmarnock 1–1 Hibernian1 Sep 2024
Season averages per game
HIKI
1.00Goals1.00
1.55Conceded2.36
1.54xG1.16
1.47xG against2.19
15.4Shots11.2
3.7On target3.8
6.3Corners4.9
1.36Yellow cards2.09
0%Clean sheets18%
82%Both score55%
64%3+ goals64%