Kilmarnock vs Hearts result and stats
Win probability: home 23%, draw 24%, away 53%
Match report
GOSSIPBALL's parrot has been crunching the numbersKilmarnock and Hearts drew 1–1 in the Scottish Premiership on Saturday 19 September 2026. Before kick-off GossipBall gave Kilmarnock 23%, the draw 24% and Hearts 53%, so a draw had a 24% chance. It was an upset by GossipBall's numbers.
On expected goals it finished Kilmarnock 0.23, Hearts 1.78, so Hearts created the better chances. Kilmarnock had 4 shots (0 on target) to Hearts's 17 (3 on target).
GOSSIPBALL analysis · based on five seasons of results and expected goals · updated 29 October 2026, 20:50 UTC
Match stats
KIHE
0.23Expected goals1.78
4Shots17
0On target3
2Corners6
13Fouls17
2Yellow cards2
0Red cards0
1Half-time goals0
Referee: D Nicolson
Recent form
Kilmarnock
W @ Hibernian1–0 · 15 Sep
D @ Aberdeen0–0 · 5 Sep
L v St Mirren0–1 · 2 Sep
L v Dundee United0–4 · 29 Aug
L v Celtic1–5 · 9 Aug
Hearts
L @ Falkirk1–2 · 15 Sep
W v Dundee2–1 · 6 Sep
W @ Hibernian3–1 · 3 Sep
W v St Johnstone2–1 · 29 Aug
W v Dundee United4–0 · 9 Aug
Head to head
In 14 league meetings since 2022, Kilmarnock won 4, Hearts won 5 and 5 were drawn; the most recent, on 14 Mar 2026, finished Kilmarnock 1–0 Hearts, a win for Kilmarnock.
Kilmarnock 1–0 Hearts14 Mar 2026
Hearts 1–1 Kilmarnock3 Dec 2025
Kilmarnock 0–3 Hearts18 Oct 2025
Kilmarnock 0–1 Hearts18 May 2025
Hearts 3–2 Kilmarnock25 Jan 2025
Kilmarnock 1–0 Hearts15 Dec 2024
Season averages per game
KIHE
1.00Goals2.18
2.36Conceded1.55
1.16xG1.75
2.19xG against1.56
11.2Shots16.6
3.8On target5.4
4.9Corners6.5
2.09Yellow cards1.82
18%Clean sheets27%
55%Both score73%
64%3+ goals82%