Kilmarnock vs Motherwell result and stats
Win probability: home 32%, draw 26%, away 42%
Match report
GOSSIPBALL's parrot has been crunching the numbersKilmarnock beat Motherwell 3–2 at home in the Scottish Premiership on Saturday 17 October 2026. Before kick-off GossipBall gave Kilmarnock 32%, the draw 26% and Motherwell 42%, so a home win had a 32% chance. It was an upset by GossipBall's numbers.
On expected goals it finished Kilmarnock 1.51, Motherwell 2.44, so Motherwell created the better chances. Kilmarnock had 16 shots (6 on target) to Motherwell's 15 (7 on target).
GOSSIPBALL analysis · based on five seasons of results and expected goals · updated 29 October 2026, 20:50 UTC
Match stats
KIMO
1.51Expected goals2.44
16Shots15
6On target7
5Corners3
9Fouls8
1Yellow cards0
0Red cards0
1Half-time goals1
Referee: C Scott
Recent form
Kilmarnock
L @ Rangers1–3 · 10 Oct
D v Hearts1–1 · 19 Sep
W @ Hibernian1–0 · 15 Sep
D @ Aberdeen0–0 · 5 Sep
L v St Mirren0–1 · 2 Sep
Motherwell
L v Celtic0–2 · 11 Oct
L @ Dundee1–2 · 19 Sep
L v Aberdeen0–4 · 15 Sep
L @ Rangers0–1 · 5 Sep
W v Dundee United3–0 · 2 Sep
Head to head
In 14 league meetings since 2022, Kilmarnock won 3, Motherwell won 5 and 6 were drawn; the most recent, on 24 Jan 2026, finished Motherwell 4–0 Kilmarnock, a win for Motherwell.
Motherwell 4–0 Kilmarnock24 Jan 2026
Kilmarnock 1–3 Motherwell22 Nov 2025
Motherwell 2–2 Kilmarnock30 Aug 2025
Motherwell 3–0 Kilmarnock14 May 2025
Kilmarnock 2–0 Motherwell5 Apr 2025
Kilmarnock 0–0 Motherwell8 Jan 2025
Season averages per game
KIMO
1.00Goals1.18
2.36Conceded1.82
1.16xG1.43
2.19xG against1.63
11.2Shots14.4
3.8On target5.1
4.9Corners5.3
2.09Yellow cards1.55
18%Clean sheets18%
55%Both score46%
64%3+ goals64%