Kilmarnock vs St Johnstone prediction
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Match preview
GossipBall's parrot has been crunching the numbersGossipBall makes Kilmarnock favourites to beat St Johnstone at home in the Scottish Premiership on Saturday 31 October 2026 at 15:00 UTC. It gives Kilmarnock a 49% chance of winning, puts the draw at 25% and gives St Johnstone 26%.
GossipBall expects 1.6 goals from Kilmarnock and 1.1 from St Johnstone, so the goals line is finely balanced: there is a 52% chance of three or more goals and a 54% chance that both teams score. GossipBall's predicted score is 2–1. Kilmarnock keep a clean sheet in 33% of outcomes, St Johnstone in 20%.
Kilmarnock are 12th in the table with 8 points from 11 games; St Johnstone are 8th with 13. In their last five league games Kilmarnock took 4 points (DLWLL) and St Johnstone took 6 (DWDLD). This season Kilmarnock average 1.16 expected goals (xG) for and 2.19 against per game; St Johnstone average 1.22 for and 1.74 against.
In 12 league meetings since 2022, Kilmarnock won 5, St Johnstone won 6 and 1 was drawn; the most recent, on 2 Aug 2026, finished St Johnstone 4–3 Kilmarnock, a win for St Johnstone.
GossipBall analysis · based on five seasons of results and expected goals · updated 30 October 2026, 12:36 UTC
Scoreline chances
How to readGold outline: the predicted score, built from the likeliest result and each team's expected goals (how). The single most common scoreline is 1–1 (12%), because a win is spread over many scorelines while a draw piles up on a few.
Most common scorelines
Goals
ExplainedGossipBall expects 2.7 goals in total: 1.63 for Kilmarnock and 1.11 for St Johnstone.
Winning margin
ExplainedEach team's goals
ExplainedRecent form
Head to head
In 12 league meetings since 2022, Kilmarnock won 5, St Johnstone won 6 and 1 was drawn; the most recent, on 2 Aug 2026, finished St Johnstone 4–3 Kilmarnock, a win for St Johnstone.
Season averages per game
Questions and answers
Who will win Kilmarnock vs St Johnstone?
GossipBall gives Kilmarnock a 49% chance of winning, the draw 25% and St Johnstone 26%. GossipBall makes Kilmarnock favourites to beat St Johnstone at home.
What is the predicted score for Kilmarnock vs St Johnstone?
GossipBall's predicted score is 2–1, based on the likeliest result and each team's expected goals (1.6 for Kilmarnock, 1.1 for St Johnstone). Across all results, the most common scorelines are 1–1 (12%), 1–0 (10%), 2–1 (10%).
Will both teams score in Kilmarnock vs St Johnstone?
GossipBall gives a 54% chance that both Kilmarnock and St Johnstone score.
Will there be three or more goals in Kilmarnock vs St Johnstone?
There is a 52% chance of three or more goals. GossipBall expects 2.7 goals in total (1.6 for Kilmarnock, 1.1 for St Johnstone).
When is Kilmarnock vs St Johnstone?
Kick-off is Saturday 31 October 2026 at 15:00 UTC.
What is the head-to-head record between Kilmarnock and St Johnstone?
In 12 league meetings since 2022, Kilmarnock won 5, St Johnstone won 6 and 1 was drawn; the most recent, on 2 Aug 2026, finished St Johnstone 4–3 Kilmarnock, a win for St Johnstone.