Kilmarnock vs St Mirren result and stats
Win probability: home 45%, draw 27%, away 28%
Match report
GOSSIPBALL's parrot has been crunching the numbersSt Mirren won 1–0 away at Kilmarnock in the Scottish Premiership on Wednesday 2 September 2026. Before kick-off GossipBall gave Kilmarnock 45%, the draw 27% and St Mirren 28%, so an away win had a 28% chance. It was an upset by GossipBall's numbers.
On expected goals it finished Kilmarnock 0.43, St Mirren 1.09, so St Mirren created the better chances. Kilmarnock had 9 shots (2 on target) to St Mirren's 10 (1 on target).
GOSSIPBALL analysis · based on five seasons of results and expected goals · updated 29 October 2026, 20:50 UTC
Match stats
KISM
0.43Expected goals1.09
9Shots10
2On target1
7Corners3
12Fouls13
2Yellow cards2
0Red cards0
0Half-time goals1
Referee: D Dickinson
Recent form
Kilmarnock
L v Dundee United0–4 · 29 Aug
L v Celtic1–5 · 9 Aug
L @ St Johnstone3–4 · 2 Aug
W @ Livingston4–1 · 17 May
W v Dundee3–1 · 12 May
St Mirren
D v Motherwell3–3 · 30 Aug
W v St Johnstone1–0 · 8 Aug
W @ Falkirk2–0 · 1 Aug
D v Dundee United1–1 · 17 May
W @ Aberdeen2–0 · 12 May
Head to head
In 14 league meetings since 2022, Kilmarnock won 8, St Mirren won 1 and 5 were drawn; the most recent, on 9 May 2026, finished St Mirren 0–3 Kilmarnock, a win for Kilmarnock.
St Mirren 0–3 Kilmarnock9 May 2026
Kilmarnock 4–3 St Mirren11 Feb 2026
St Mirren 0–0 Kilmarnock27 Dec 2025
Kilmarnock 2–0 St Mirren4 Oct 2025
St Mirren 5–1 Kilmarnock29 Mar 2025
Kilmarnock 2–0 St Mirren2 Jan 2025
Season averages per game
KISM
1.00Goals1.09
2.36Conceded1.73
1.16xG1.35
2.19xG against1.77
11.2Shots12.8
3.8On target3.9
4.9Corners4.1
2.09Yellow cards2.82
18%Clean sheets27%
55%Both score46%
64%3+ goals55%