Motherwell vs Aberdeen result and stats
Win probability: home 57%, draw 24%, away 18%
Match report
GOSSIPBALL's parrot has been crunching the numbersAberdeen won 4–0 away at Motherwell in the Scottish Premiership on Tuesday 15 September 2026. Before kick-off GossipBall gave Motherwell 57%, the draw 24% and Aberdeen 18%, so an away win had a 18% chance. It was an upset by GossipBall's numbers.
On expected goals it finished Motherwell 0.77, Aberdeen 0.92, so Aberdeen created the better chances. Motherwell had 12 shots (5 on target) to Aberdeen's 11 (4 on target).
GOSSIPBALL analysis · based on five seasons of results and expected goals · updated 29 October 2026, 20:50 UTC
Match stats
MOAB
0.77Expected goals0.92
12Shots11
5On target4
5Corners2
7Fouls12
2Yellow cards3
0Red cards0
0Half-time goals1
Referee: S McLean
Recent form
Motherwell
L @ Rangers0–1 · 5 Sep
W v Dundee United3–0 · 2 Sep
D @ St Mirren3–3 · 30 Aug
D v Falkirk0–0 · 9 Aug
W @ Hibernian2–1 · 2 Aug
Aberdeen
D v Kilmarnock0–0 · 5 Sep
L @ Celtic0–3 · 2 Sep
L v Rangers0–1 · 30 Aug
L @ Dundee0–2 · 8 Aug
W v Hearts2–1 · 1 Aug
Head to head
In 16 league meetings since 2021, Motherwell won 6, Aberdeen won 7 and 3 were drawn; the most recent, on 15 Feb 2026, finished Motherwell 2–0 Aberdeen, a win for Motherwell.
Motherwell 2–0 Aberdeen15 Feb 2026
Aberdeen 1–1 Motherwell9 Nov 2025
Motherwell 2–0 Aberdeen27 Sep 2025
Aberdeen 4–1 Motherwell29 Mar 2025
Motherwell 2–0 Aberdeen5 Jan 2025
Aberdeen 2–1 Motherwell14 Sep 2024
Season averages per game
MOAB
1.18Goals1.09
1.82Conceded1.27
1.43xG1.25
1.63xG against1.47
14.4Shots13.0
5.1On target3.5
5.3Corners5.8
1.55Yellow cards2.55
18%Clean sheets18%
46%Both score36%
64%3+ goals46%