Motherwell vs St Mirren prediction
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Match preview
GossipBall's parrot has been crunching the numbersGossipBall makes Motherwell favourites to beat St Mirren at home in the Scottish Premiership on Saturday 31 October 2026 at 15:00 UTC. It gives Motherwell a 57% chance of winning, puts the draw at 24% and gives St Mirren 19%.
GossipBall expects 1.7 goals from Motherwell and 0.9 from St Mirren, so the goals line is finely balanced: there is a 47% chance of three or more goals and a 48% chance that both teams score. GossipBall's predicted score is 2–1. Motherwell keep a clean sheet in 42% of outcomes, St Mirren in 18%.
Motherwell are 10th in the table with 9 points from 11 games; St Mirren are 7th with 14. In their last five league games Motherwell took 1 points (LLLLD) and St Mirren took 4 (LLLWD). This season Motherwell average 1.43 expected goals (xG) for and 1.63 against per game; St Mirren average 1.35 for and 1.77 against.
In 16 league meetings since 2021, Motherwell won 7, St Mirren won 2 and 7 were drawn; the most recent, on 30 Aug 2026, was a 3–3 draw.
GossipBall analysis · based on five seasons of results and expected goals · updated 30 October 2026, 12:36 UTC
Scoreline chances
How to readGold outline: the predicted score, built from the likeliest result and each team's expected goals (how). The single most common scoreline is 1–0 (13%), because a win is spread over many scorelines while a draw piles up on a few.
Most common scorelines
Goals
ExplainedGossipBall expects 2.6 goals in total: 1.70 for Motherwell and 0.87 for St Mirren.
Winning margin
ExplainedEach team's goals
ExplainedRecent form
Head to head
In 16 league meetings since 2021, Motherwell won 7, St Mirren won 2 and 7 were drawn; the most recent, on 30 Aug 2026, was a 3–3 draw.
Season averages per game
Questions and answers
Who will win Motherwell vs St Mirren?
GossipBall gives Motherwell a 57% chance of winning, the draw 24% and St Mirren 19%. GossipBall makes Motherwell favourites to beat St Mirren at home.
What is the predicted score for Motherwell vs St Mirren?
GossipBall's predicted score is 2–1, based on the likeliest result and each team's expected goals (1.7 for Motherwell, 0.9 for St Mirren). Across all results, the most common scorelines are 1–0 (13%), 1–1 (12%), 2–0 (11%).
Will both teams score in Motherwell vs St Mirren?
GossipBall gives a 48% chance that both Motherwell and St Mirren score.
Will there be three or more goals in Motherwell vs St Mirren?
There is a 47% chance of three or more goals. GossipBall expects 2.6 goals in total (1.7 for Motherwell, 0.9 for St Mirren).
When is Motherwell vs St Mirren?
Kick-off is Saturday 31 October 2026 at 15:00 UTC.
What is the head-to-head record between Motherwell and St Mirren?
In 16 league meetings since 2021, Motherwell won 7, St Mirren won 2 and 7 were drawn; the most recent, on 30 Aug 2026, was a 3–3 draw.